The Punt Return: Betting on the NFL- Divisional Round
Wildcard Weekend saw the continuation of a golden run by underdogs in the playoffs (underdogs are now 14-1 against the spread since Atlanta choked/gave the Super Bowl away).
Three road teams won last week with Dallas being the only favourite to win outright. This is the second straight season where underdogs have gone 4-0 against the spread in the wild card round.
The Divisional round though presents a unique experience, in that half of the teams have had the bye, will get to play at home and typically against teams with a worse record. As bettors we have to be smart about what that means and how that will affect the outcome of these games.
Darryl Data & Wye open the show recapping a terrific week of results. Wye went 4-0 against the spread in his selections and correctly picked Clemson winning the National Championship game while the model celebrated the Under 48.5 in the Indianapolis/Houston game and Eagles +6.
Before going game by game with their picks and bets, the show mentions some key statistics about divisional weekend including:
· Home teams are 24-35-1 against the spread in the divisional round since 2003
· Away teams are 13-27 straight up in the last 40 Divisional Playoff Matchups.
· Favoured teams laying a touchdown or more are 46-38-3 against the spread in this round of the playoffs
This episode of the Punt Return concludes with the guys discussing their favourite DFS plays for the weekend including Travis Kelce, Robert Woods & Nelson Agholor.