US-backed Egypt vs Europe-backed Ethiopia. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs

Jul 30, 2020, 01:31 AM
Image:  Gebre Mesqel Lalibela, the Zagwe dynasty Ethiopian king credited with having constructed the rock-hewn churches of Lalibela.

War as a (Fatal) Diversion from Reality.  Egypt has been in a proxy war for some time with Ethiopia. Ethiopia has failed to grasp this, largely because escalating the war would seem fatal for both sides 

Analysis, by Gregory R. Copley, Editor, GIS/Defense & Foreign Affairs. Egypt and Ethiopia stand on the brink of a formal war neither can afford. It is a war, moreover, demanded by the Egyptian media and street. It is unjustified and will resolve none of Egypt’s urgent needs. 

It is a war which would, in fact, dramatically worsen Egypt’s strategic position at a critical time; turn a potential major strategic partner into an implacable foe; damage the security of one of the world’s most important sea lines of communications (the Red Sea—Suez) at huge risk to the fragile global trading system; and cause the death and disaffection of many Ethiopians and Egyptians.