Hello everyone and Welcome to another
episode of Selling Greenville your
favorite real estate podcast here in
Greenville, South Carolina, I'm your host
as always Stan Mccune I'm a realtor right
here in the Greenville area and if you
need a Greenville realtor you can find
all my contact information in the show
notes I'd be happy to talk to you send
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call I'd be happy to talk to you to
discuss any of your real estate needs
here in Greenville or even outside of
Greenville because I've got a network of
Realtors outside of this Market that I
work with as well so let me know contact
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all I ask of you guys today we are
going to talk about rental
portfolios and I've been hearing some
Rumblings within the investor
Community about how there have been more
rental portfolios coming on the market
this year than previous years and
usually, these Rumblings come with a
suggestion or at least a little bit of
an innuendo right that maybe rental
properties aren't performing like they
used to and maybe people can no longer
afford property holding costs like taxes
Insurance Etc or perhaps the holding
costs themselves are increasing as at a
faster rate than rents are and as such
the projected net income of a property
no longer makes sense for the owner I've
been hearing these sorts of
Rumblings and I feel like it's worth
addressing from my perspective right
because I work with a lot of investors
I have over the years had multiple
rental portfolios that I have listed for
different people and I feel like
it's worth addressing what I am seeing
on the ground from my perspective with
all of the people that I'm talking to
rather than there just being this
suggestion this innuendo out there well
H A lot of people are selling off rental
portfolios these days there must be
something wrong not necessarily and
we're going to get into that in just a
second but I want to start by by just
clarifying for those listening or
watching this EP episode what is a
rental portfolio very simply a rental
portfolio isn't a single-family house or
a duplex a rental portfolio would be
multiple properties sold together could
be multiple properties on the same lot
could be perhaps a bunch of condos next
to each other whatever the case may be
multiple properties sold together as one
very
simple now with that in mind I want
to kind of lay some groundwork right
before I address the main concern
that perhaps there are issues in the
rental market that are nefariously
causing landlords and landladies to
have to sell off rental portfolios in
the past they wouldn't have sold off
first off I want to address that
immediate concern right the implication
that we have more portfolios being sold
now than in the past let me start by
saying this that's only true if the past
only goes back to the year 2020 what do
we know about real estate between 2020
and 2022 well we've talked about this
before but as a recap mortgage rates
were absurdly low and the result was
that a lot of properties were bought
up as rentals during that period of time
and needless to say with owners having
really really low rates you know 3% 3
and a half 4% nobody wanted to sell
right we had that stretch from 2020
through roughly mid to the end of 2022
with these low
rates people get properties under a
low rate they don't want to sell and
those who maybe would have normally sold
during that period of time a lot of
those people had an opportunity to then
go and refinance and get an even better
cash flow than they were getting before
and so obviously they don't want to
sell now their property is performing
even better than it was so since the
pandemic nothing has been normal nothing
has been normal since the pandemic
that's a really really important context
but before then rental portfolios
commonly were sold right the fact that
we're seeing more rental portfolios than
we have the past few years is not that
meaningful right we're seeing more
single-family homes on the market than
we did in 2022 and 2021 that's because
inventory back then was absurdly low
and so really it's not that much
different than the single-family Market
when it comes to these rentals
portfolios if we go back roughly 10
years the very first rental properties
that I ever purchased was actually a
a lot of 100 units right that were all
sold by the same seller that were all
listed in MLS imagine if MLS right now
got flooded with a 100-unit rental
portfolio we haven't seen that since
then right that was 10 years ago so we
need to keep that context right if we're
comparing anything to the past 3 to four
years we're not making a fair comparison
because the past 3 to four years have
been extremely weird and that's
primarily as I already said because we
had this artificial period of easy money
right for this roughly three-year period
of time and that artificial period being
three years
that's long enough that it started to
feel real and now people have forgotten
what actual reality feels like right
well guess what we're being reminded of
what real and reality feels like and it
feels like rental portfolios commonly
being sold off so this part of what
we're
experiencing is what we would say
regression to the mean right we're
seeing more rental portfolios and it
feels like a lot in comparison to the
past few years because it is but if we
go back actually historically 5 years 10
years it is following normal trends for
for the Greenville market now I can't
speak to other markets right this is a
Greenville podcast we are talking about
Greenville real estate specifically if
you're listing in from another Market it
might be completely different real
estate is super duper local nothing that
happens here impacts Boise or Austin or
Las Vegas or San Francisco so keep
that in mind if you're an out-of-date
listener know we have a bunch of them
additionally okay with all of that
groundwork I've got some more groundwork
here we need to remember that a lot of
rental portfolios are leveraged with
five-year loans right the 30-year and
15year fixed-rate mortgages that are
essentially government subsidized that a
home buyer can get FHA Loans
conventional loans you can't buy rental
portfolios with those loans right you
could buy in theory a duplex a Triplex
or quadruplex but you couldn't buy a
package of say two duplexes with a
conventional loan the government
doesn't allow that it's not allowed so
you have to go to a actually
a commercial lender typically or a private
lender or perhaps even a hard money
lender with something like that if
you're trying to finance a specialized
loan trying a specialized
portfolio like
that and here's the thing the vast
majority of those types of loans right
because they're high higher risk for the
lender most of those loans are only
going to be 5ye loans they typically are
not going to give you a 10 15 20 30 in
particular a 30-year loan on a portfolio
of rental properties so typically it's
going to be 5year loans and when those
loans come to maturity then decisions
have to be made right the the borrower
has to get a new loan or they have to
pay the old one off or maybe the lender
that they're with credit union
Commercial Bank or whatever maybe they
have a way for them to refinance that in
house but regardless decisions have
to be made once that 5-year term comes
up and guess what any five-year
portfolio loan made in 2018 was due last
year and so I don't know how many
portfolios were sold last year that were
sold due to a loan coming to maturity
but all the way back in 2018 2018 feels
like an eternity ago but there were a
lot of loans made in 2018 any 5-year
loan that was made during that period of
time which would have been most rental
portfolios sold during that time was due
last year any that were purchased in
2019 are due this year so you have to
keep that in mind for some a lot of
these rental portfolios are leveraged
and for some borrowers they have
loans that are coming due this year year
and remember rates if if you if you
bought in 2018 2019 and now you're
trying to refinance this year rates are
roughly 3% higher than they were back
then and so this might mean that a the
borrower can no longer can no longer
afford the new loan terms and or B the
numbers no longer work for that specific
property with that borrower's right for
whatever reason but that doesn't mean
and this is very important that
doesn't mean that the number won't work
for another borrower with a different
set set of rental property parameters
and that borrower might purchase the
property have maybe they purchase it
cash or maybe they purchase it with
financing they might have a very good
property on their hands it's very
important anyone that's listening is not
an experienced investor hear me hear me
loud and clear here just because a
property doesn't work for another
investor doesn't mean it can't work for
you
that's very important right because I
have purchased rental properties over
the years that were on Market guess what
I had to beat out other people other
investors there there was a multiplex I
bought a few years ago that was coring
with investors, I had to go super
aggressive in order to purchase that
property I bought it for a higher price
than anyone else was willing to buy it
for was it a great investment yes it was
a great investment for me I sold that
property not that long ago made a lot of
money, while I owned it, made a lot of
money when I sold it and so it's very
important not to read too much into what
other people are perceiving numbers
don't work for other people who care do
the numbers work for you that is all
that matters is the property worth x
amount to you maybe the property is not
worth to you what it is to another
person doesn't matter all that matters
is what it's worth to you and what
you're not numbers are that's very very
important don't read into what other
people are doing per se obviously you
don't want to completely ignore it if
nobody else is interested in a property
that could be an indication that maybe
there's something wrong with it um but
it's very important to do all of your
analysis independently don't be
concerned about the analysis that other
people are doing
additionally okay we've got a lot of
additionally in here but we need to
understand the context right there's so
much context and when people are making
these suggestions that you know there's
something broken in the rental market
it's usually without this context so
hopefully, this context is helpful for
you guys to kind of think about the
market holistically it's important to
remember that the vast majority of
rental portfolios are sold off MLS
either off Market entirely or by Brokers
not utilizing MLS for instance
commercial brokers again when money is
easy these things never get blasted out
to the public these rental portfolios
they don't get blasted out to the public
usually because they are gobbled up
very quickly off Market or off MLS at
least but when rates go up now there are
fewer people that can buy less demand
now marketing becomes more important now
you start to see more of these
portfolios being blasted out on MLS
or in groups or via commercial
brokers and so that's important
content now with all of that context in
mind let's deal with the real situation
at hand is there something the fair is
happening that isn't completely obvious
within the Greenville rental market well
let's start from the top the rental
market undoubtedly has cooled from a few
years ago this is what also what happens
when Easy Money dries up right Easy
Money boosts rents when that easy money
goes away then people tend to to try to
stay where they are are not make any
major changes and that has a a trickle
down effect on the rental market
properties that had waiting lists of of
people two years ago are struggling
to fill vacancies in 2024 airbnb’s are
floundering and this is all a nationwide
Trend due to an oversaturated Market in
general with more rental rentals than
renters when it comes to certain
properties in certain areas okay and
we've definitely seen it here it's a
nationwide Trend but it's also a
Greenville Trend I've seen it with my
own rentals I talked to a lot of other
investors the rental market and the
Airbnb Market have both cooled
substantially the past year okay now how
does this compare historically right
because I have said earlier in the show
it I am not a big fan of comparing the 2024
to 2022 or 2021 because 22 and 21 were
very weird years historically so what
does the market feel like to me it
kind of reminds of 2014 to 2015 the
market was similar then where there
wasn't as much easy money as other times
the economy still wasn't great and it
wasn't uncommon to see multi-month
vacancies for rental properties it feels
very similar to that period of time yet
again and again was the market bad
back then not historically speaking but
if you compare to 2020 to 2022 then yes
it would appear that way and so if we're
comparing the rental market now versus a
couple of years ago is a worse
Market but if we're comparing it to the
past 10 years not necessarily there are
there would be comparable years in
terms of of this market and so I think
that that's very important context
nobody in 2014 2015 was saying man the
Greenville rental market is really slow
right now but our market right now in my
opinion is comparable to then and people
are saying wow it's really slow right
now it's just because we've got recency
bias right it's been such a hot market
for several years we got used to
that we thought that it was always
going to be that way and that's just not
the case it's slowed down it's regressed
to the mean, this is to a certain
extent natural and healthy now I alluded
to holding costs let's talk about that
for a second expense like property
taxes Home Owners Insurance liability
insurance
Etc have those gone up in recent years
and are they pushing landlords out of
the market I would say yes and no okay
right they've definitely gone up but so
has rent right expenses have gone
up but also income has now and we're
talking about the past several years now
I don't see too many people and this is
the more important detail I don't see
too many people that are selling their
rental portfolios because they aren't
cash flowing due to expenses I just
haven't personally run into that so
because honestly if your property is not
cash flowing for you how are you going
to sell it to someone else it's not
going to cash flow likely for them
either and this is particularly true
when it comes to multi-family I will say
there are some exceptions when it comes
to single-family packages I've seen some
people sell off some packages of you
know four five 10 single family
properties and in those instances when
people are selling off you know a
package of single-family properties
sometimes the cash flow is a little bit
tenuous on some of that so I will say
that but when we're talking about you
know small multi-family Properties
apartment complexes things of that
nature generally speaking I am not
running into the situation where these
aren't cash flowing and people are
having to to get out of it the only
exception to that would be if you got a
landlord that just hasn't raised rents
in 20 years hasn't done any repairs to
the property and now is just trying to
offload the property because it's way
more than they can handle usually those
S sell off MLS there are some currently
if you're looking on MLS there are some
fixer up
small multi-family properties that
are like that out there that would be
the only exception to the rule but
generally speaking, that is not what I'm
running into when it comes to these
these portfolios that we're seeing
coming
online now do I see some people passing
up some potential buyers passing up on
opportunities because they're concerned
about what their holding cost will be
yes absolutely lots of hesitancy on this
front from buyers people getting
squeezed from taxes getting squeezed
from mortgage rates getting squeezed
from homeowners insurance getting the
squeeze from all over the place um and
and so that has for sure impacted
demand for some of these portfolios and
so this contributes to some of these
portfolios lasting longer on Market than
maybe they would have in an easy money
era right if you just alleviate the
squeeze from one of those levers if you
just alleviate the cost of
financing that has a dramatic impact on
people's numbers and what they can
afford and how attractive a portfolio
might be so perhaps there is more
active inventory for these portfolios by
virtue of there being less demand not
so much because there are more sellers
than usual that to me seems more
reasonable we have more active inventory
less because of there's just way more
sellers coming into the market and more
because there's just fewer buyers and so
some of these portfolios are
starting to stack up and kind of Linger
on the market
so where then are these sellers coming
from well besides the ones I've already
mentioned a lot of them are the older
generation just getting out of rentals
they're you know people don't realize
it's it's honestly it can be exhausting
being a landlord or a landlady
people that have done it for 20 30 40
years they're ready to get out they're
tired they're ready to be retired
um a lot of the older generation tend to
not like property managers they want to
self-manage well it's a lot of work
eventually you get to be too old to do
that um and we've been we've been
seeing a lot of this and guess what
we're going to be seeing a lot more of
this in the future because the boomer
generation sits on a massive stockpile
of real estate and as they age out they
will be selling those properties off
or passing those properties onto their
heirs the majority of whom are likely
to sell those properties off because let
me tell you most of the time when rental
properties are inherited those the
people inheriting those properties they
don't want them right they just want the
money they don't want to have to worry
about they don't want to have to step
into management, they don't even know the
tenant that's in there they don't
know what the property what work the
property needs to have done they just
want to sell the property and just get
their money I've also seen a large
portion of people just needing to
liquidate property and get equity for
one reason or another right no again
nothing nefarious just they've got a
property that has a lot of equity in it
and they're like you know what I need
this Equity I need this money and
these types of occurrences are random
and unpredictable but they happen with
more regularity when you guess it you
they happen sorry, let me rephrase
that they happen with more regularity
when as you can probably guess money is
more expensive than it has been in the
past right because people now are in a
situation where they've got this Equity
but in order to hold on to it costs
them more money because money isn't
coming as easy maybe they need to
borrow money for a business or they
would like to borrow money for a
business but now they've that the cost
of doing that is much more expensive
than it was and so it's like okay well
where can I get more money if this loan
is going to cost me too much or maybe I
I don't qualify for this loan well I've
got these rental properties and I've got
equity in them I might as well sell
those off and take advantage of the
equity that I have in some cases I see
people assessing their broader portfolio
and picking specific properties they
want to sell off for one reason or
another maybe it's a property where they
have more debt than others right they
they might look at you know they've got
30 properties and they're like you know
what if I sold off these 10 these 10
doors then I could be debt free so
why wouldn't I do that I don't want to
have to pay debt you know pay debt
servicing anymore I just want to get rid
of all of that and so I've seen that
maybe it's a property that really
doesn't fit the rest of their portfolio
for instance, maybe you've got you know
four or five single-family homes but
everything else that you own is in a
single apartment complex I've seen
sellers do that where they're like I
just want to sell off these single
family homes and just keep all of my
real estate in this apartment complex
very very common I've seen this over and
over and over again these are the most
common reasons I am seeing and hearing
people selling these portfolios off
again if there was anything nefarious to
it I would tell you guys I'm not afraid
to complain about you know property
taxes and homeowners insurance we've
talked about that on the show the
costs of of repairs and maintenance
we've talked about all of these things
at other times in the show but I'm just
telling you boots on the ground I'm not
hearing people saying that they're
trying to liquidate rental portfolios
because of those expenses or because of
of rents being low not hearing that I
think it's important as well to say to
look at what we're not seeing right I've
told you what I am seeing what I'm
not seeing is defaults and again
Nationwide we talked about this on the
show as well people are not going in
historically speaking not defaulting on
their loans on their mortgages and I
haven't seen any examples of people
selling off rental portfolios due to
running into potential foreclosure
issues and so the result of that is
that many of these portfolio sellers
really aren't all that motivated unless
they really really need that money for
something they might be in kind of a
take it or leave it point of view and
I've trust me I've seen this over
and over again where it's like you know
what if I here's what I'm willing to
sell it for if I don't get that
then I'm just going to hold on to it
like it's cash flowing it's not causing
me any problems I'd like to sell it and
do something else do a 1031 exchange or
or you know use that money into some
other investment but maybe they're
okay with not doing that if they're
not going to hit the amount of money
that they want I'm seeing that over and
over again as well and so a lot of
these sellers they willing to test the
market to see what they can get and
if they can't get what they want they
will hold on to the property and just
continue continuing on long story
short the Dynamics in the rental
portfolio space aren't really all that
different than they are in the single
family space right now right we already
I already compared it and said just
as inventory has gone up in single
family so has inventory in in rental
portfolios financing being more
expensive than recent years is impacting
both supply and demand older people are
selling some are choosing to avoid
this space this rental portfolio space
altogether due to the expenses involved
Etc these are all the exact same
Dynamics that I'm experiencing in the
single-family market and the reality is
that real estate as a cash flow engine
okay I'm just going to be honest with
you guys right because I'm not just this
I'm not just the type of realtor
that's just like oh yeah investing in
real estate makes use tons of money and
it's always a great option and
you're just missing out
listen the reality
is that real estate as a cash flow
engine isn't quite the dream that it was
a few years ago because the cost of
money has gone up but real estate is
still a very good asset for an
investment portfolio in my opinion this
is not investment advice but from a
tax standpoint which this also is in tax
advice I talk to your accountant and
investment adviser about these things
but it still makes a lot of sense for
a lot of people to have in their
portfolio particularly if you're a cash
buyer particularly if you're a cash
buyer because you can avoid all those
concerns about the cost of money
the cost of financing and so I think
that that's that's very important we
had you know this this stretch from 2020
to 2022 where everyone wanted rental
properties because it was like wow it's
so cheap to to buy this property now
that the cheapness has gone away to a
certain extent people are pulling back a
bit but that doesn't mean that real
estate isn't a good value anymore you
got to take it Case by case and assess
things from your P actual standpoint for
yourself specifically it's going to be
different for different people now maybe
you've been thinking about buying a
rental portfolio or investment Pro
properties but you're on the fence
you're concerned about all that's
happening I'm going to give you three
concluding thoughts and you can go take
those thoughts and use them however you
would like first
off and this is just common sense but it
Bears repeating run your numbers and
have realistic expectations okay when
you're assessing a rental portfolio
or investment properties in general and
and I think that this is what a lot of
people don't realize when they're when
they're purchasing in investment
properties you really shouldn't expect
to make any money the first year that
you're holding a rental property you
need to be prepared
to maybe even lose a little bit of money
but you need to be prepared at least to
break even if you make money your first
year holding a rental property that's
great that's a bonus okay that's
shouldn't be the expectation now when
some hear that they will swing to the
other side of the fence and run Ultra
conservative numbers and then say well
I'm only going to buy a rental property
that makes me this this much cash you
know per month right away and fits these
specific criteria and you know right
from day one is a great
property usually what I find from these
people is they never buy anything okay
and so that's where you need to
have realistic expectations part of the
realistic expectations is knowing that
the properties might not cash flow might
not be as great as Bigger Pockets says
that they are but some of it is as
well recognizing that
hey it might still be a good investment
even if it doesn't cash flow you know
doesn't hit the 1% rule doesn't do all
these things it just it depends again on
everyone's situation and again
there's nothing if you look at all of
this and you decide you know
what I'm never going to find a property
that fits what I'm looking for as an
investor there's nothing wrong with that
real estate investing isn't for anyone
it's not for everyone it's only for
certain people not everyone is a real
estate
investor and so that's really important
important have like sit down have a
serious conversation with yourself with
your spouse with your partners whatever
about whether you truly have the risk
tolerance to be a real estate investor
you might not because I run into a
lot of new investors that they
want to completely eliminate risk out of
the equation they love the idea of real
estate because it's much less risky than
for instance Bitcoin or the stock market
or whatever the case you have full
control over that property and so it has
a lot less risk but you can never
eliminate all the risk and the people
that come to me and you know immediately
are telling me about essentially how
they want to eliminate risk and
they might not say it that way but what
they're describing to me you know how
they want a property that is
already making all sorts of money and
that hits this Rule and that you know
doesn't need any work and that has never
had this problem or that problem that
might not be a realistic approach okay
you might need to reconsider whether
real estate investing is really for you
so run your numbers but also have
realistic expectations for whether both
for what the market has out there and
also for you as an investor be
introspective and willing to
recognize if you are not a good
candidate for real estate investing
which not everyone is point number two
which just brings me to is that scared
money
don't make money one of my favorite
phrases and particular in real estate
I see scared money all the time right
people who make decisions from a
scarcity mindset what if I make a
mistake what if the market turns on me
Etc versus confident investors who are
willing to take a swing on a property
because they know that the worst-case
scenario really isn't all that bad right
residential real estate holds value and
has utility so it's not like investing a
bunch of money in a startup or in you
know speculative crypto or penny stocks
or whatever where you may lose all your
money if things turn out very poorly
that's not investment advice by the
way again talk to your talk to your
investment adviser but real
estate is different right in the
worst case scenario you have something
that has actual value for someone it
might not be as good of an investment as
you hoped it was but
it's not the same as investing at in
these other things that are speculative
and or that you have little or no
control
over now with regard to experienced
versus inexperienced investors arguably
in my opinion the biggest difference
between unexperienced and inexperienced
one is the confidence element
inexperienced investors want to know
every little detail about a property
when was the flooring installed how old
are the kitchen cabinets when was the
last termite treatment an experienced
investor on the other hand walks into a
promising property and immediately
smells money they see opportunity before
they see problems right now he or she
might have some of the same questions as
the an experienced investor
absolutely an experienced investor
doesn't have fewer questions typically
they have more questions but they won't
get hung up on the questions because
they see that the opportunity is larger
than the potential concerns and that's
where scared money don't make money the
people the investors that are willing to
take risks and that are willing to not
be scared they are the ones over and
over again that come out on top the ones
that want to eliminate risk and that are
are playing the game scared it's it's
really hard it's really hard to play
this game scared because you're going up
against a lot of people that aren't
scared and you know guess what some
you know look at if you've ever watched
Sports if you're a sports person you
know that there are these irrational
confidence guys right the guys like
Darius Tony for instance on the Chiefs
remember that guy he was nearly the MVP
of the Super Bowl just a couple of years
ago and he's he's terrible he's trash
I'm just gonna say that not a good, not a
good football player he didn't even play
in the Super Bowl this past year
because he's so bad but he was an
irrational confidence guy, he was blowing
up the Super Bowl against the Eagles
just a couple of years ago and the in
the NBA the ba is full of these types of
of irrational confidence people where am
I going with all this sometimes you
need to have a little bit of irrational
confidence and just believe in
yourself even if you've never done this
before believe that you have what it
takes in order to take the plunge
because if you don't then you're just
never going to take the
plunge all
right con concluding Point number
three the best day to buy your first
first investment
property was yesterday okay I've said
this before the best day to buy a house
was yesterday well the best day to buy
your first investment property was also
yesterday and I use this phrase over and
over again because it's so true and I'm
not just saying it because I'm a realtor
right I'm sure some of you are rolling
your eyes I get it I'm a realtor I I
want so many people to buy houses
right and I want them all to use me
but aside from that talk to anyone who
had the opportunity to buy a few years
ago and didn't and all you hear is
Regret over and over again I'm telling
you I I work in this space I hear regret
all the
time very very rarely do I hear a regret
from someone that bought a property it
almost always I would say 90 to 95% of
the time the regret is from the people
that didn't buy and
and I'm just being honest like I can't
even think of a person at the moment
that bought an investment property that
regretted I can't think of a single
person that fits that boat now
the caveat is I will say this that I'm
around smart investors and when I get
clients that are looking to invest but
are inexperienced maybe aren't yet a
smart investor I try to coach them up
the best I can to make them a smart
investor now so I'm sure that there
are people that I don't know right
people that aren't in my circles that
aren't my clients that are not smart
investors that have made mistakes that
they regret and perhaps you know some of
them they are the outliers I'm telling
you they are not in the norm most people
that are investing in real estate
have invested the past few years are
very very happy with their Investments
they might not be happy as happy now as
they were a year or two ago but they're
still very happy with the investment
that they have because they know they
have tons of equity they have you
know an asset that is continuing to go
up in value they are in great shape the
people that aren't are the people that
had analysis paralysis that got that got
scared out of the market decided not to
buy those are the ones that are filled
with regret right now so if you're in
the market but are stuck on the fence
what would it take for you to get
unstuck okay if it's lower rates and and
I'm not suggesting you should get
unstuck I'm I'm just thinking out loud
here if it's lower rates and that's what
you're waiting for right you're waiting
for lower mortgage rates I would argue
that you may be better off buying now
while the market is slower and then
refinancing later at lower rates right
we talk frequently about buy the house
date the rate or marry the house date
the
rate same thing with rental portfolios
um it's not always as easy to rely a
rental portfolio as just a single-family
house so certainly keep that into
consideration but generally
speaking I would people that are are in
the market for a rental
portfolio it waiting for rates to go
down isn't going to benefit you because
we've had this conversation same thing
in single-family rates go down demand
goes up and then prices start to
Skyrocket so keep that in mind if there
are opportunities out there but the
numbers don't really work at like 7% but
they would work at 6% you might want to
go ahead you might want to consider at
least buying at 7% and then having the
opportunity to refinance down the road
at 6% or
lower and again this is some of of what
we're talking about is understanding
that your first year that you own a
property you need to have tempered
expectations and so part of that can
be you know what this first-year
maybe the first couple of years rates
might be higher than I want them to be
but hopefully, I'll be able to refinance
lower and if not guess what the way the
market is appreciating you've got an
appreciating asset if you're not happy
with it you should be able to sell it
after a couple of
years if it's prices that are keeping
you stuck on the fence well it would
take a lot more inventory coming on the
market for prices to see meaningful
declines in the rental portfolio space
or in any real estate space and if
you're holding out for that I'm telling
you right now you are never going to
come off the fence if prices are what
you're waiting for you're waiting for
prices to go
down yeah yeah you're not coming off
that vence and if you don't like the
current options you can hold out as long
as you want but be realistic look at
sales the past couple of years look at
look at the rentals and the portfolios
that have sold the last couple of years
I do this as an exercise with my
client sometimes it's like okay let's
actually see if the past year or two H
if what if there's property that
has sold that you would actually have
bought and what does that look like and
if you do that if you do that exercise
and determine that you would not have
bought any of those properties except
maybe one or two so you look back the
past couple years and you I was like
okay yeah there's a property I would
have bought and here's another one that
that maybe I would have considered I
would have considered this port rental
portfolio if in a couple of years you
you only see one or two that you would
have bought then guess what you're never
going to find what you're looking for
that's not enough enjoy the fence that
you're on right you're going to be on
the fence for a long time dress that
fence up paint it nice fresh coat of
paint decorate it put like Garland on it
or something because you're going to
want to look good while you hang onto
that fence for the foreseeable future
you need to have a lot more than just a
couple of properties that would have
been potential for you some of you
if you did that exercise you would look
back and not find any properties that
you would have been interested in and
then you know okay you're again real
estate investing isn't for everyone so
do that exercise and then you can
determine if you would potentially
find something now what I like to see is
if you go back a year or two and you see
six to eight properties that you think
would have fit your buying criteria
that's a good sign okay now we're
talking so let's look back at these
properties and assess How likely it is
that we will see properties similar to
them coming online in the next year
that's the way to handle that I want to
see if I'm unsure if someone
will be able to find what they're
looking for I want to see that there are
6 to8 properties that would have fit
their criteria the past couple of years
that's usually a good indication that we
will find something in the
future long story short there's a lot
happening a lot going on with rental
portfolios but I don't think that we're
at the spot yet where we need to be
thinking about okay this is something
nefarious or's something going on
renting you know having rental
portfolios in Greenville or in South
Carolina no longer makes sense I'm not
getting that sense from the people that
are selling or looking to sell right now
there's a whole lot of other things
going on and hopefully this podcast
helped to clear some of that up but
right now the important thing is if
you're looking for a rental portfolio
you have more options than you've had
the past three years so take advantage
of those options while they exist and
I'd be happy to help you with that if
you need a realtor who specializes in
this kind of thing I am one of those so
please reach out to me my contact
information is in the show notes if you
need to have a realtor for this type of
real estate or if you just need someone
to help you find a home in general in
this area I'm your guy so look in the
show notes for my contact info and
please as well if you like the show
subscribe rate review all of those good
things and we will talk again next time
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