Hello everyone and Welcome to another
episode of Selling Greenville your
favorite real estate podcast here in
Greenville, South Carolina, I'm your host
as always Stan Mccune realtor right here in
Greenville, you can find all of my
contact information in the show notes if
you need to reach out to me for any of
your real estate needs just a reminder
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which I'll get to here in a few minutes
and if you guys could do that I would
really appreciate it a few years ago
I did a podcast episode on overpricing
listings and I referenced this recently
in recent episode it was it was a
really important study that I did
important for myself I'm not saying it
was important for anyone else but for
me it was really important because the
conventional wisdom has always been
among Realtors and real estate
professionals that you never want to
overprice a listing right if you if it's
worth 300,000 you don't want to price it
for
325 and that you know frequently has
been something that people just say
right and so I heard people say that
over and over again but I wanted to
actually see what the data said does the
data support this claim and so I I I did
a a bun a big analysis on data in the
greater Greenville area and I con cluded
that on average homes that were
overpriced when they were initially
listed and I defined it as overpriced
by
$15,000 or more on average sold for $12
a square foot less than homes that were
not overpriced to that degree or that
were either priced appropriately or even
underpriced so people conventionally you
know a lot of people out in the public
they they think well if I list for 315
as opposed to 300 I will end up getting
more than had I listed for 300 well that
conventional wisdom among the the
general population is simply not true
unless unless 315 was not an
overpriced amount right if the home is
worth 300 and you you list it by you
list it by at 325 you're going to
end up hurting yourself you're going to
end up selling it for less than had you
listed it for 300 or
315 now I want to revisit this topic
from a different perspective
specifically from the perspective of
listings that already have appraisals
now sometimes listings come on the
market or come back on the market with
an appraisal in hand for for instance
just to give an example a seller might
have recently refinanced and they might
have a copy of their appraisal or
perhaps they paid for an appraisal due
to the home having unique features or
perhaps they have a copy and Appraisal
from a buyer who attempted to purchase
their home but then backed out
now I need to to caveat a few things
with regard to appraisals when a seller
has an
appraisal they and you have to keep
several things in mind first off
appraisals are extremely subjective I
know if if you're an appraiser you're
listening to this maybe you don't want
to hear that but I'm telling you
everyone else in the world believes that
appraisers and appraisals are subjective
and obviously there are certain there
are certain standards that all
appraisers have to abide by but when it
comes to the final valuation that tends
to be extremely subjective in terms
of what that valuation comes back as
I've had as an example multiple times in
my career where I've had two appraisals
on the same home done within a few weeks
of each other with no material
differences to the home during that
period of time and had those two
appraisals come back in some cases
$30,000 apart in some cases $40,000
apart and and the biggest discrepancy
I've ever had was $50,000
departure between two appraisals
taken within a very short period of
time on the same property so
appraisal are very subjective
additionally appraisals don't really
take the current state of the market
into account as much as they do what has
happened in the past now it's not to say
that they don't take the current state
of the market into account at all I'm
not saying that but the main emphasis of
an appraisal is comparing the subject
property to other properties that have
have sold the past year maybe even
sooner than the past year if possible
and and of course that's a lot different
than what buyers care about we just
talked about this in the last episode
buyers care more about what's currently
on the market than they do what's sold
the past year now buyers will will look
at what's sold the past year and they'll
they'll look at comps and they'll
they'll assess whether their home is
overpriced but at the end of the day the
the homes that they are looking at are
the homes that are currently on the
market not homes that sold a year
ago couple more points here appraisals
generally have more value for lenders
than they do for buyers or sellers I've
had my more detailed buyers sometimes
even get upset at appraisers for
giving a home the same value as the as
what the contract on that home was
because they felt like the appraiser
wasn't really doing his or her job right
and coming up with the with a precise
amount independent of the contract price
so what I'm saying is let's say the
contract is for 300,000 and the
appraiser just kind of rubber stamps
that and says you know I'm just going to
give the value for this home a $300,000
value that's a very common practice
and yet I've had some some clients
that have been upset by that that they
feel like well an appraiser should
should be more specific and should be is
it I mean surely in his or her mind it's
not worth exactly what the contract
price is that seems Bush league but the
reality is that appraisers do have the
contract in the back of their mind when
they're coming up with a value and
and quite frankly I think that they
should I don't think that that is a is a
flaw I think that that is a a good part
of the process because they typically
don't want to blow up a deal and most
people buying or selling real estate
don't want the deal blown up and
and so you know if an appraiser priced a
home $5,000 less than the contract
when they are simultaneous using very
subjective metrics like saying this home
is you know the subject property is
is updated
$225,000 more than than the comps that
they're comparing it to I mean that's
all very subjective H how do you know
for a fact that one home is truly
updated
$25,000 more than another by the way
I need to I just realize I need to
turn my phone on silent making a rookie
mistake over here took me getting a
not ification on my phone to realize I
had made that mistake apologies for that
but yeah if if you're just kind of
and of course there they're not just
ballparking these numbers when they're
making adjustments to the comps you know
they don't just pluck you know $25,000
out of the a at least the good ones
don't but there's still so much
subjectivity to that in determining okay
this home with all these different
updates it's you know it looks like it's
updated about $225,000 when you're
already putting that level of
subjectivity into it and then after
doing all of that you come within $5,000
of the contract price on a $500,000 home
why not just go ahead and just say you
know what we're close enough we're in
range I'm just going to give it the same
value as what the contract is worth I
feel like that that process I don't I
don't feel like that there's a problem
that I specifically have with an
appraiser having that process and I've
had a lot of conversations with the
appraisers over the years explaining to
me that process and it and it does make
sense
that being said another caveat
that I think is worth mentioning about
this is that some appraisers in my
opinion have weird rules in their head
that the rest of the real estate
market simply doesn't have so for
instance most of Greenville
appraisers I've communicated with
automatically consider basement square
footage and by the way a basement is the
way I understand it the way appraisers
deem it if any part of of the house
right is or any part of a section of a
house is 1 in or greater below grade it
is a basement so that's a pretty extreme
metric right I've got a split level home
that I use for an Airbnb and one just
the front elevation of the bottom
portion of the split level home is a few
feet below grade the rest of the
elevations all around the house are not
below grade and because of that
that's considered a basement and here's
what has happened every time I've gotten
that home appraised the appraisers have
given that square footage 50% value in
other words if the home is considered
generally speaking the above grade
portion of the home is considered to be
worth $200 a square foot then the
basement square footage will be
considered $100 a square foot just it
nothing else matters doesn't matter if
the basement is way nicer than the rest
of the house they're going to
automatically use that 50% rule and
now I've had some appraiser say well you
shouldn't do that that is not you
shouldn't just automatically do that for
every single house but I'm telling you I
have had four to five appraisers say
yeah every single basement home I just
automatically give it 50% square footage
and I've had some argue with me over
this some have said well I I'll just
say this I've I've had an argument with
with some appraiser there's one of which
blocked me on Facebook because I guess I
think he didn't like my political views
but I I had a discussion with
with one appraiser in particular
about this a long discussion where I was
like okay explain to me how this makes
sense right because you're you're trying
to assess the market the real estate
market and undeniably if we're
talking about the real estate market
again we're not talking about comps
which is more what appraisers are
focused on but if we're talking about
the real estate Market just in general
buyers and sellers of real estate buyers
typically prefer a basement home any day
of the week over a two-story home right
basement homes are just the rare in
Greenville we don't have a ton of them
and they typically are very popular
people would much prefer to have a
basement than a second or third story on
their home well again appraisers
that that's subjective I understand that
there's not data necessarily that that
you can that says that but but
when I said that to WAN praiser his
response was well even if that's true it
doesn't take into account the fact that
basement homes are cheaper to build than
two-story homes and that I didn't even
know what to say about that because I'm
sorry I've talked to a ton of
contractors about basement homes and
there is not one that you can find in
the Greenville area I can promise you
you find me one that will build you a
basement home for cheaper than they will
build a two-story home that is a
complete myth basement homes are harder
to build they're more expensive and
you've got to waterproof them you've got
so much more that you have to do with
the foundation it makes no sense that it
would cost less and therefore we're
going to appraise it for less it's a
complete myth and you know I hate it
when people use talking points like that
and I've lived in I've already
referenced one basement hes I I've lived
in three basement homes over the years
I'm actually recording this from my
basement this is where I record all
of my
podcasts and and I've seen this Dynamic
play out in real times many times in my
life because I've had multiple
appraisals for multiples of these homes
and every single time I get a 50% value
on the square footage for the below
grade portion of the house so I'm not
just making this up the but these are
the sorts of weird re weird can't talk
weird rules that sometimes appraisers
have in their head that don't
necessarily make sense to to anyone else
but these are the rules that they are
operating by and I don't mean that to
insult any appraisers I'm not calling
out anyone in particular I'm just saying
this is what I've seen happen with a
lot of appraisers over the years in my
opinion the good ones factor in more
than just you know this is my rule my on
siiz fits all Rule and there are a lot
of good appraisers that do that a lot
of good ones that that I've talked to
and maybe some that I'll I'll get on the
show at some point in the future but
the reality is that you have
conversations with some of these people
and you will find that some of them
have some kind of odd rules that they
follow
by I've seen this happen multiple times
and you know who else has seen this
happen multiple times Stephen Piper with
Piper Insurance Group who is who I
call anytime I want to vent about
basement appraisals being lower than I
think they should be because he has has
had that very experience as well with
his home or at least I don't know if he
still lives there but but we had some
lengthy conversations about this in the
past but Stephen is also who I call
anytime I want to get an insurance quote
and a piper Insurance Group is the
official sponsor of the selling
Greenville podcast they can help you
with your home Auto or Umbrella
Insurance they're independent as an
insurance agencies so they can quot
multiple different insurance companies
and bring back the best rate that they
can find between all of the companies
that they work with they're licensed in
in more than just South Carolina you can
also use them in North Carolina more
than South Carolina you can also use
them in North Carolina and Georgia and
they can help you with investment
properties not just primary residences
so if you need to ensure flips rentals
ground up new construction even
commercial properties they can help you
with all of those things their contact
as well as mine is in the show notes so
if you need if you need insurance
Home Auto Umbrella Please go to the show
notes for this show and find Piper
insurance group's information and give
them a call today for a free quote all
right so now that we have all the
appraisal caveats out of the way let's
get to the matter at hand I decided to
see what I could find for starters in
the multiple listing service on listings
that reference that they had had
appraisals done at some point in the
process of listing or relisting a home
it's not easy to find them and I'm sure
I didn't find all of them but I found
about 37 listings specifically in
Greenville County there was a reason
why I was doing this not just on the
greater Greenville area but just
Greenville County not going to get into
the Weeds on that because it's kind of
Irrelevant for the purposes of the show
but I found about 37 in Greenville
County for the past year that had
referenced appraisals in their listing
now some of these put the appraisal in
the listing itself or put the amount of
the appraisal in the listing especially
if it was a home that was listed for
less than it was appraised for right
that's a good selling point you say hey
this home appraised for 400,000 but
we're list l in it for
350,000 well that's a a good way to
Market a house others simply said
that the listing was priced based on the
appraisal you know they would use some
kind of a langu some kind of language
like that but without any more
details I would say again because it's
great to be able to Market a property is
being listed below the appraised value I
think it's safe to assume that those
that wouldn't say what the apprais value
was and just said that it was price
based on the appraisal that it was
either priced at or above what the
appraise value was I think that it's
pretty safe to say that and then
there were a a handful of of listings
that were clear were listed they
included the appraisal or whatever but
still listed it above what the appraised
what the appraised value was those
were not very many here's what I did
I went ahead and took this data and
analyzed it in a variety of ways and I
had chat gbt you guys know that I I use
chat
GPT I wouldn't say on a daily basis but
for sure on a multiple times per week
basis I decided to have chat GPT
create a neat little graphic for me
which I'm going to share with you guys
if you're watching on YouTube and if
you're not watching on YouTube that's
okay if you're just listening I'm
going to explain everything to you guys
anyway all right so on YouTube I have
the graphic the graphic pulled up
chat GPT called it appraised listing
analysis which is great and so we're
going to there's nine different bar
graphs on here and I'm going to stop at
the I'm going to start with the top
right corner and just kind of go through
this let's start with the total number
of properties right I already said there
were 37 properties total how did this
break down two of them listed their home
for above what it was above what it
was appraised for of them were unknown
those are the ones that I'm going to
assume was either right at the
apprais value is what they were listed
for or they were probably listed for
slightly above what the apprais value
was and then 25 of the 37 listed the
home below the apprais value that they
had So conventionally speaking people
typically at least you know 2third of
of these are listing if they have an
appraisal they're listing it below the
appraisal value and generally speaking I
think that's a good strategy right
because again if you're trying to
Market a home and you have an
appraisal if you're going to Market that
you have the appraisal there needs to be
something that you're that you're
making attractive to the buyer right a
buyer doesn't want to buy a house for
more than it's appraised for nobody
wants to do that it feels like
overspending and so generally
speaking it's a good idea if you have
that appraisal you you probably need to
price it at least a little bit below
that amount and for sure you
don't want to price it above the appraised
value if you're going to reference that
you got an appraisal recently I would
say if I had a client excuse me if I
have a client that gets an appraisal
on a house and they want to list it
above the apprais value I'm going to
show them data on why that's a bad idea
but for sure when we Market the property
if we do list it for above the appraise
value I am for sure not going to
reference the appraisal in the listing
because it's self-defeating right at
some point the question is going to come
in from an agent well what did it
appraise for well a little bit more than
what we listed it for but my you know
but you know it maybe a different
appraisal will come in better that's
just very weak people don't like that
and and and I don't think that that's
a particularly good marketing strategy I
know that's not a good marketing
strategy all right next next on
here I want to look at so we know which
properties how many of the properties
listed for above or below or unknown
in relation to the apprais value so what
was the average or or in this case the
median of how high or low they listed it
well for the two that listed for above
the apprais value the median was it was
$20,000 above the apprais value
obviously the unknowns are unknown
for the 25 that listed below the apprais
value the median was
8,500 below the apprais value so if
you're looking on YouTube the the
graph is a little bit awkward because
it's got the higher number on the bottom
and the lower number at the top but
that's because the belows were
were the the greater number out of
these so most of the people that were
that we had the data on that were
listing their homes below the apprais
value based on the median they were
listing it about 8500 below what the
appraisal came in
at let's look at the the percent
average list price reduction so what
I mean by this and I also have the
medi for this this is for these homes
right for these three categories homes
that were listed above the appraised
value unknown which is probably slightly
above the appraised value or maybe right
at or below the appraised value did they
have to reduce their price on average
and by how much okay and so the home
homes that listed for above the apprais
value on average they had to reduce
their price by
5.4% over the course of their listing
for those that are in the unknown
category so probably slightly above they
had to reduce their price over the
course of their listing by
3.15% and for those that were below the
median on average they had to reduce the
price at some point by
2.8% let's look at the median real
quick here the same number but just the
median instead of the average the
the median was exactly the same again we
only had two properties so that makes
sense for those that listed their home
above the appraise value
5.04% and then the unknowns were 1.27%
price reduction on median for those
that were probably at or slightly above
the appraise value and those that were
below the apprais value had reduced
their price on median very marginally
only by 75% so what does this say we've
got very clear steps so far the four
charts we've looked at four graphs we've
looked at steps going up and now
steps going down
basically the conclusion that you can
draw from this is you can't fool the
market right the market and and a good
appraisal is reflecting the market in in
some way or another you can't fool
the market right if you overprice a home
the the market is going to figure that
out and as a result home the homes that
were priced above the appraisal by
average or median they had to reduce the
price by 5% and the the lower the list
price was in comparison to the apprais
value the less of a price reduction had
to
happen and so like I said the median
price reduction for those that listed
below the appraised value was less than
1% which is great because right now
I'm I I'm not sure if I'm going to do a
show on this I'm thinking about it
but right now there are of there are
some records being set on price
reductions records being set on
contracts falling through there's a lot
happening right now in that regard so
you really it's it it's really helpful
to know okay those that are taking the
appraise the appraisal into
consideration and listing it on average
8,500 below the appraised value they're
not having to reduce the price to the
extent that all of the others are having
to do let's look at the fifth
grade
graph here and this is looking at all
these properties and how many of them
sold or are currently under contract
right I can't extrapolate whether these
will all sell if they're under contract
but we can at least look at the data so
of the ones that that listed above
the appraised value again it was only
two of them one of them never sold and
the other one did so 50% of those that
were in the unknown category so probably
slightly above the the appraised value
60% of those sold are went under
contract and for those that listed below
the appraised value
84% sold or are currently under
contract and so again we're seeing
it's just very distinctive very striking
step patterns and I didn't manipulate
this data I let I always let the data
say what it says and if there are any
surprises that come out of the data
you guys that are that are frequent
listeners of the show you know that that
I'm willing to admit if there's a
surprise in the data happy to admit that
and the there's just there's no
surpris in this data it's exactly what
you would expect it to to be let's
look at the percent of property sold at
or above list price okay so if you
listed for
300,000 did it sell for 300 or more
or did it sell for less than 300 the
above and unknown categories so those
that did not price their homes below the
aisal 0% of them sold at or above list
price that is a really and and by the
way the original list price not the not
the reduced list price striking number
not a single one of the 12 homes that
that listed at or above the apprais
value ended up selling at or above the
list price again you can't fool the
market on the flip side those that were
priced below the apprais value 43.7
5% of them sold at or above list price
so again what strategy do you want to
use do you want to have a strategy that
involves price reductions and then
eventually selling below list price by
quite a bit or do you want to have a
strategy that where you might actually
sell at above list price and odds are
you'll probably end up getting more than
going the other direction let's look
at average days on market for the homes
that sold above
or or the homes that were listed
above list price or above man I'm
struggling today guys I'm sorry the
homes that sold or that listed I'm going
to get through this at some point the
homes that listed above the appraised
value on average their days on Market
was
122.5 the next category the unknowns the
likely slightly above or or at list
price average days on Market by the way
which is the time between when it's
listed when it goes under contract 85.9
days and for the homes that were listed
below the apprais value 59.96 days so
again very straight line number if you
you know the graph just is just a
step pattern if you want to sell
quickly it's very simple you've got to
list it below the apprais value if
you've got an appraisal in hand very
simple what about the average price
difference and the this is the
final graphic that I'm going to be
looking at you see this on YouTube If if
you're watching but this is the final
one I'm going to be looking at here the
average price difference from list to
sold okay so look at if if if it
listed for 300,000 and sold for
280,000 the number would be minus 20,000
would be the average would be the the
difference between list price to sold
so on average those that were in the
that listed above the apprais value sold
for $30,000 less than what it was listed
for those in the unknown slightly
probably slightly above the apprais
value category sold for $
17,23 less than what it was listed for
originally and those in the those
that had priced below the apprais
value sold for on average only
$816 less than than the list price
and I did factor in seller concessions
into all of these numbers by the way so
I factored in whether whether sellers
were pay a portion of buyer closing
costs or or offering some other
concession in one way shape or form into
all of these numbers just to make it
a true Apples to Apples sort of number
so long story short as I've already said
multiple times you cannot fool the
market the the market knows the
market knows if you have overpriced a
home or not it's not going to be fooled
it's not going to be Hoodwinked and and
here's what happens if you overprice
your home then and this is just another
way of looking at it it's going to take
longer you're going to have to reduce
your price you're going to be less
likely to sell and you're going to be at
risk of selling for less than had you
simply priced it appropriately or even
perhaps a little bit less than than
what it's worth from the get-go and
so again this is to me as a realtor I
get paid a percent based on a percent
of the sold price I want all of my
listings to sell you know I would like
them all to sell for Millions upon
Millions right but my strategy of how
I price a home it it can sometimes be
nonintuitive to the general populace
because they think well we need to price
it as high as possible to get the most
value but that's not how this works
because there are other Dynamics going
on where people are are looking at
these homes and and if they see a home
that appears overpriced they're not
going to look at it they're not they're
just going to ignore it they're just
going to wait then the listing stays on
the market for a long time and then
price reductions happen and then it gets
stale and then people start to think oh
well here's an opportunity I could just
make a lowball offer and then after
it's all said and done you end up
being way worse off than had you just
priced it right from the get-go so
here's my plee to you guys whether you
use me as your realtor or not please
price it right from the get-go use a
realtor that is going to be honest with
you about what your home is worth let me
tell you it is very awkward for me as
a realtor when I'm talking to a
prospective seller that overvalues their
home because here I am I've got data on
my side and I'm like your home isn't
worth 500,000 it's worth
450,000 and they're insistent they're
like no it's got to be worth 500,000 and
their data is non-existent it's based on
Vibes and and those can be very
awkward conversations I hate having
those conversations but I'm never
going to put you know avoidance of an
awkward confrontation above telling my
client or prospective client what is in
their best interest and generally
speaking what is in your best interest
is to make sure that you don't overprice
your listing because you'll end up
making less money and having more
heartache in the long run that's all
I've got for today's episode thank you
guys so much for listening my contact
information is in the show notes if you
need a realtor that will price your home
correctly Piper Insurance Group also
their contact information is in the show
notes if you need a home Auto or
Umbrella insurance company in South
north or South Carolina North
Carolina or Georgia and please if
you enjoyed this content subscribe so
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