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[SPEAKER_00]: Hello and welcome to Baseball America's draft podcast.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I'm Carlos Clauseo joined by Peter Flarity.
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[SPEAKER_00]: We're here to talk some twenty five draft day views.
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[SPEAKER_00]: What's going on, Peter?
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[SPEAKER_01]: Not much.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's this is like one of the points in the calendar where I can and I get everyone can kind of say that it's a
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's a quieter time of year.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Everything is in the rear view from the main in big high school events to summer ball and the portal guys are just kind of moving back into their respective schools and the only major thing on the horizon is Jupiter in early October, which I'm excited to get down to.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So it's kind of a nice and more manageable time though.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I'm starting to get that edge.
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[SPEAKER_01]: to where there's, you know, I'm kind of wishing that there was more stuff on a daily basis, but it is kind of a blessing and a curse because you brought this up in our Slack yesterday, at least for me, where I'm so amateur focused, this is a fun time of year, where I can kind of play catch up a little bit on, you know, watching guys in my handbook chapter, which is
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[SPEAKER_01]: You know, I have the Padres.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So I'm starting to dial in on on Padres games on a day to day basis, especially in the the minor league level.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So it is nice to to dip my toes on the on the pro side.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, post like East Coast pro area could games for me always feels like a bit of an
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[SPEAKER_00]: organizational time time frame doing a lot of upkeep on just my summer notes upkeep on the database that basically houses all of our twenty twenty six draft information I need to do a lot of upkeep to that just get the players in all their bio info but it is a nice slower period on the amateur side where we can kind of look to the pro game catch up on what we may be having missed at the major league level when we were
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[SPEAKER_00]: heads down for the draft and like you said, get a head start on some of our prospect handbook responsibilities.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's also time of year where I mean, it is less than previous.
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[SPEAKER_00]: calendars for debuts on the draft side just because the draft is later, there's less time to activate players that the levels that we have at the minor league level, we just have fewer places at the minor leagues.
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[SPEAKER_00]: And I'll say Zeus has gone out to the bridge league, the continuation league, out in Arizona, and gotten to put eyes on some players who are active there in unofficial games.
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[SPEAKER_00]: But we do have some players who are kind of kicking up and getting their pro debuts started
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[SPEAKER_00]: Although not a ton, we have just eight first rounders so far who have made their official pro-day abuse, Ethan Holiday with the Rockies.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I've our cat with the Marlins, Gavin Kielin with the Giants, Mary Kuskin with the Twins, Casey and Cunningham with the D-Backs.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I gather to the Orioles and your Fisher with the Brewers and Tate South the scene with the brave.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So those are all the first rounders that
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[SPEAKER_00]: As of Thursday, August when he first before any night games, those are the first rounders who have made their debut.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I'm hopeful in the next few weeks or so, we can push towards fifteen or so.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I think a year ago around this time, we had had twenty-day views.
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[SPEAKER_00]: or worse close to the index, and I would get a check in on like where first rounders were playing, and we're going to do a similar piece this year, although we might have to expand that, and just touch on some just notable debuts in general, and not maybe focused on first rounders, because we just don't get a ton of those guys playing.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, on the pitching side, I checked again this morning, but how many pictures would you guess have thrown five or more innings, Peter, if you haven't already looked down at the spoiler in the show sheet?
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[SPEAKER_01]: I haven't looked at the spoiler in the show sheet.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Are you talking about just first rounders or pictures in general?
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[SPEAKER_00]: Pictures in general, any twenty twenty five drafty who has thrown five innings or more, what would your number be?
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[SPEAKER_00]: And I'll tell you, if this helps, I can give you the number of pictures who have thrown in official games.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Actually, I don't want to tell you that because that will make it a lot easier.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, so it helps me out a little bit.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I'll say,
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[SPEAKER_01]: four.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, great guests.
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[SPEAKER_00]: We have only five pictures or excuse me, six pictures with five more innings.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Those pictures are I pull it up here for you.
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[SPEAKER_00]: in descending order, Danny Thompson, Jr.
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[SPEAKER_00]: and eighth rounder from the Blue Jays, can't an edge, a twenty-th rounder with the Royals, Bryce and Dudley, a seventh rounder with the Royals, Jonathan Stevens, sixteenth rounder with the twins, Joey Valini, sixth rounder with the Marlins, and Tyler Van Dyke, tenth rounder with the Cardinals, everyone else, and we've only had thirty-five pictures who have been activated so far and played in official games.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Everyone else is less than five innings now, which
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[SPEAKER_00]: Like we're going to talk about some babies, but just probably just worth emphasizing what we're dealing in massively tiny samples and so
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[SPEAKER_00]: All of this is basically like who started hot and who has it.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's not like who's actually having a strong protein.
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[SPEAKER_00]: We don't even have enough like I was looking at some some of the performances yesterday and the slash line like how I think of it in my head.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's so different just with one one's game one games worth of difference in the slash line.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's like we're in the jumping around no easy area with all these numbers.
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[SPEAKER_01]: yeah i mean it's it's literally a crumb of a crumb of a crumb you keep on going with the crumbs but it's like if you're at the point in the season and all these guys really will just given where they're at in terms of
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[SPEAKER_01]: level and when they debuted, but if you can affect your slash line or, you know, average, if you can go up or down, fifty to a hundred points with one good or bad day, it's probably.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's a good, uh, I guess, sign to, to where you don't need to put a whole lot of stock into it.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So I mean,
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's just, at least at this point in the counter, it just kind of get to something to talk about and chop it up for a little while.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Is there anyone who has been the most impressive to you with that huge caveat about sample size out of the way?
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[SPEAKER_00]: There's not like a clear runaway favorite, like I feel like last year, Christian Moore was really hot out of the gate, and then Nick Kurtz after that, like maintained his hot start really quickly.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I would say there's no player so far who's quite at that level.
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[SPEAKER_00]: But I have to say, Mary Houston's start has been fun to see on the hitting side.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I mean, of the, if we want to look at just the, I guess you could call it prominent guys, so top two rounders or so.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's hard to not say that Mary Houston is leading the pack.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I garish is also off to a good start or Kaden Bodine on surprisingly is also really hitting.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But Mary has the largest sample size of that trio.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We just earned a promotion to,
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[SPEAKER_01]: To hi a cedar rapids and he's kind of, you know, he's doing what he's done since he was essentially a freshman at way, really soft, more as when he broke out, but he's hitting at a really high level contact skills have been.
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[SPEAKER_01]: above average, if not plus, he's shown a good feel for the barrel, he's defending well.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I actually went and watched some of his swings.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He has no homers yet, and I don't really think anyone is like sounding the alarm bells with the lack of juice so far.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Um, he's got four doubles and I wanted it to check and see if they were kind of like bleeders or hustle doubles that he kind of, you know, flared.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But he turned on a couple of fastballs.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It was in plus counts.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, like he could kind of get his A swing off there, but like he turned on a couple.
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[SPEAKER_01]: hit one of a left-feeler's head, hit one hard down the line.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We mentioned the body transformation heading into this year.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And I know that he's been a player that I think you and I have both really long been high on, perhaps higher than some or most.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So it's exciting to see him get off to a fast art.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And I think his profile is really exciting, like plus defender all the way at short.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Gonna stick there.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's off to a fast art hitting.
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[SPEAKER_01]: if you can even hit for a little bit of power that immediately becomes a potentially really high impact player.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not too worried about the power that he shows in his debut.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I think that even if he doesn't hit for a lot of over the fence power, it's still a profile that I'm excited about for all of the reasons that you mentioned.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I wanted to pull up and see
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[SPEAKER_00]: Another Jacob Wilson is a little bit more of an extreme offensive profile than Mayor Custon, better contact skills, maybe even less raw power, certainly less physicality at the same time.
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[SPEAKER_00]: In his pro debut, which came in twenty twenty three, the same year since draft year.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He played in twenty-six games, three games at Rookie Ball, twenty-three games at the high level.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He slashed three, thirty-three, three, ninety-one, four, seventy-five.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He homeworked once and had eleven doubles.
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[SPEAKER_00]: If Merrick basically has something like that, like a lot of doubles power, making contact, playing a defense, the defense of profile is still looking similar to what we would have expect.
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[SPEAKER_00]: What we expect to see in college, the strikeouts are kind of
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[SPEAKER_00]: in line with with what we would expect to see from him.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I'd be perfectly fine with that.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, how many doubles does he have so far?
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's already four doubles three.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, through twelve games.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So that's that's pretty solid.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's he's probably the one hitter, like you said, up the prominent names that I picked out and said, you know, he's off to a good start, leading all draftees with
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[SPEAKER_00]: twenty-one hits at the time of this recording.
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[SPEAKER_00]: In the power department, pivoting to another player, maybe could go back and forth on whether you would say his debut has been impressive or not so far, but Devon Taylor does lead all drafties with four home runs.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's got four homeers and fourteen games at the low-way level.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It is low-way, I think, basically everything outside
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[SPEAKER_00]: other power and maybe you could point to the fifteen percent walk rate as another strong indicator ten walks in sixty five games that's all it but he is striking out quite a bit thirty two point three percent he's got twenty one strikeouts in sixty five played appearances fourteen games so that that's mildly concerning for guy who's
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[SPEAKER_00]: Like his entire value is the hit power combination as we've discussed at Nazium in the past.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's definitely a corner out filled profile with some work to do defensively.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So nice to see the power, which he wasn't striking out quite as much, but it's fourteen games and maybe worth mentioning that he is the leader in the clubhouse here in terms of home runs.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, the homework power has been encouraging because for as
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[SPEAKER_01]: prolific is kind of a strong word, but for as lengthy a track record.
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[SPEAKER_01]: as Devon has with over the fence power, he hit sixteen, twenty and eighteen homerons across his freshman sophomore in junior years in Indiana.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Flash would bat power both in the NECBL and the Cape doing the same in stock.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And I've always kind of like the hit tool for me has been more impressive than the power, especially in game, just in my looks at him.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And this is a cross of fourteen game sample, so I'm really not trying to put too much stock into it.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's been an overall contact right.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I think of sixty three percent or so.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Whiffing thirty seven percent of the time.
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[SPEAKER_00]: This is pro debut numbers right here.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, pro debut numbers.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And it's been predominantly against heaters and kind of what I saw in some of my looks in his.
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[SPEAKER_01]: In his summer going into his junior year where it's heaters up and he's just kind of getting beaten blown up.
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[SPEAKER_01]: The swing decisions have been good.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, he's staying in the strike zone.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's chasing it less than a, at a sub twenty percent clip.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's just getting, he's getting beat up in the zone.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So I mean, like how he's doing it and how these k's are coming about aren't necessarily the, you know, it's not really reasoned to panic, but it is a little bit of an interesting trend because like you said, the entire value in his profile.
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[SPEAKER_01]: is what he can do with the stick like it's not.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Well, if he, you know, if he doesn't hit, you know, he's a good athlete or, you know, if he doesn't do this, he's a, he's a great runner and, you know, you can rely on the defense, like it's all what he does in the box.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So I think that adds a little bit of, a little bit of pressure and maybe magnifies the numbers a little bit more, but yeah.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Across a fourteen game sample, it's so hard for me to like get you remotely concerned about what a guy does for better or worse.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I might I might be wrong, but I might think that's the right.
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[SPEAKER_00]: That's a right amount of like conviction to put in these numbers.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I would be a little surprised Taylor turned this big strikeout rate player.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean the high strikeout rate he had in college was eighteen point nine percent.
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[SPEAKER_00]: As a freshman at twenty three, maybe you could point to the competition and say it's not quite at the level of like SEC, ACC.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I know there were some of that nitpicking for a player who was so hit power dependent.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, if you look at the misrate on fastballs overall, his college career to seventeen percent misrate.
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[SPEAKER_00]: That's not a number that jumps out to me as being concerning.
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[SPEAKER_00]: If you just look at ninety three mile per plus pitches that rate jumps to twenty one percent mystery against fastballs still not a number that jumps out to me as being super concerning or worrying.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He does swing and miss Morgan Spray can balls in second areas.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Again, that's pretty standard.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Most hitters are swinging and missing Morgan's that pitch classification, but but even then, against both spin and changeups kind of lumped together throughout this college career.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's a twenty seven percent mystery.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, maybe that pushes to more of a range where he starts to wonder a little how is he going to handle
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[SPEAKER_00]: Secondaries at the pro level, but I was just very confident in his hit power combination as an amateur, or remain pretty confident in it now, and then just pulling up some of the data we have.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So this is the third team games of synergy and pro ball.
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[SPEAKER_00]: The misrate overall is thirty-seven percent, which is scary against fast balls.
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[SPEAKER_00]: And actually, I don't even want to get into the individual pitch ties because some of these are not classified.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So there's probably a significant amount of noise here.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So overall, Ms.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Ray, three, seven is quite a bit higher than anything that you showed in college.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So where how many plate appearances, I think we're halfway to the stabilization rate for hitters for
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[SPEAKER_00]: Um, for Devon Taylor.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Where's yeah, yeah, sixty five.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Okay.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So a little bit closer.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So we're going to count the range where strike at right in particular, stabilizes.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe a slight more concern, but yeah, who else you got Peter?
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[SPEAKER_01]: Let's see.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, of the prominent guys and your fishers off to a hot start in high A kind of, you know, he hasn't missed a beat really since his season at Tennessee, like,
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[SPEAKER_01]: For better or worse, and I'm it's sort of trending in the way in the direction of me having to eat some crow on him.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I was not as high as maybe others were not high on the model darling Andrew Fisher Nick Kurt's two point.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Oh, as they say I was more like mid second to third round high on him.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Um, then I was in the range.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He went, uh, you know, him slapping at number one and basically every chat GPT model that we threw together with all of our hitter data wasn't convincing to you, huh?
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[SPEAKER_01]: I know.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I know.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Again, for better or worse, I'm a, I'm kind of old fashioned the sense that I put
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[SPEAKER_01]: I was talking to my, my in person looks and my own eyes, but now he's off to a really good start swinging the bat well, they kind of threw him to the wolves a little bit and put him in the mid-west league in hi-a, but he's done a really good job across like six or seven games and only in that promotion and he's eight for twenty five with a double.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Just violent bad speeds strong physical kid with a ton of strength in this swing.
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[SPEAKER_01]: You know, he swings within ten every time and he's not going to get cheated.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So, you know, he's he's he's he's hit the ground running again.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He was more of a.
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[SPEAKER_01]: second to third round guy for me.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I was actually not as convicted as maybe other people were with how much power he'll hit with the wood bat.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But we'll see he's only six games in.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So yeah, I guess one's really right there and they won't be until who knows like this time next spring or next summer maybe, but now he's his starts in a really encouraging because the Midwest league is notoriously known
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[SPEAKER_01]: for being a pitcher's league as well.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And so for a fresh drafty to head there, especially hitter, where he doesn't have a lot of time to get his eyes hot outside of handful of games in the bridge league.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's I think that's a really really a good transfer for Milwaukee.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, one other hitter that I want to mention, other like higher end, more prominent name.
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[SPEAKER_00]: who I always like to through seven games is off to a start.
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[SPEAKER_00]: This is the kind of the player I was thinking of when I said I looked yesterday in the numbers were a lot more appealing numbers through six games.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Just a little bit more exciting for Max Ballou than seven games.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's in a huge slump now after that one game, but I mean he's hitting for impact.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He did start in high as well.
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[SPEAKER_00]: One of the few hitters to just go straight to that level essentially has seven games.
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[SPEAKER_00]: with the Northwest League Spokane Club there.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's hitting two, nine, six, three, seven, six, thirty, three home runs.
17:44.958 --> 17:46.639
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think he has any doubles or triples.
17:46.659 --> 17:48.440
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, just three home runs, giving that slug.
17:48.920 --> 17:50.561
[SPEAKER_00]: The strikeouts are a bit concerning.
17:51.041 --> 17:55.323
[SPEAKER_00]: So far, he struck out in thirteen of his first thirty-one played appearances.
17:55.343 --> 17:57.023
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's right over forty-one percent, right?
17:57.323 --> 17:58.284
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, it's seven games.
17:59.384 --> 18:00.405
[SPEAKER_00]: But I do like Max Bulu.
18:00.445 --> 18:01.845
[SPEAKER_00]: I thought it was a still in the third round.
18:01.905 --> 18:05.407
[SPEAKER_00]: So hopefully he can start to rain in those strikeouts.
18:06.247 --> 18:07.789
[SPEAKER_00]: I filtered some players here.
18:07.809 --> 18:21.202
[SPEAKER_00]: I looked at just players who went inside the first hundred picks and then I looked at players who had forty or more played appearances of that sample of players which it's a fifteen player group.
18:22.103 --> 18:29.308
[SPEAKER_00]: The top players just purely in terms of OPS so far are Ethan Petrie with the Nationals second rounder.
18:29.408 --> 18:32.551
[SPEAKER_00]: He's hitting three sixty four four seventy five five seventy six.
18:32.951 --> 18:35.753
[SPEAKER_00]: He's got a homer triple a pair of doubles.
18:36.273 --> 18:48.062
[SPEAKER_00]: Kane Keppley second rounder with the Cubs and I should say Petrie's OPS is one I don't even know how to say four digit OPSs on a podcast in a way that is
18:50.253 --> 18:50.853
[SPEAKER_00]: easy to hear.
18:50.954 --> 18:53.135
[SPEAKER_00]: He has a ten fifty-one OPS.
18:54.596 --> 18:59.740
[SPEAKER_00]: King Capile is second with a nine seventeen OPS again second rounder for the cubs.
18:59.820 --> 19:10.107
[SPEAKER_00]: He's hitting three eighteen five o eight four o nine probably unsurprising to hear that King Capile is walking more than he's striking out early in his pro debut.
19:10.187 --> 19:12.929
[SPEAKER_00]: He's got eight bags as well in ten attempts.
19:13.669 --> 19:15.430
[SPEAKER_00]: Two triples, no homers.
19:16.211 --> 19:26.017
[SPEAKER_00]: Cody Miller, who was one of the kind of surprise names for us on the first day, one of two players we did not have ranked on the B-A-F-I-F-I-Hundred, Brave's third rounder, ninety-six overall pick.
19:26.397 --> 19:34.842
[SPEAKER_00]: He's off to a hot start as well, third an OPS of this group, eight, fifty, four OPS, slash, and three, fifty, four, three, ninety, six, four, fifty, one.
19:34.862 --> 19:38.305
[SPEAKER_00]: I believe he was like a crazy contact guy.
19:39.025 --> 19:48.754
[SPEAKER_00]: in college maybe striking out a little bit more than I would expect for that profile but again like of these sort of top one hundred players with a decent sample.
19:48.774 --> 19:54.719
[SPEAKER_00]: He's arguably been a third best hit or so those are a few other names just to mention who are performing.
19:55.280 --> 20:01.465
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah Miller is an interesting one because he was I saw him play a little bit pre-draft and there were
20:02.640 --> 20:12.245
[SPEAKER_01]: There was a reasonable amount of heat into and to get some looks at him when I saw him in early June or mid June before he had left the cape.
20:13.265 --> 20:16.987
[SPEAKER_01]: But it's a pretty intriguing set of tools there with him.
20:17.007 --> 20:18.508
[SPEAKER_01]: I was a little surprised, I think.
20:19.288 --> 20:20.389
[SPEAKER_01]: y'all were a PA here.
20:20.429 --> 20:24.632
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going in the in the third round, but there are interesting tools.
20:24.672 --> 20:32.278
[SPEAKER_01]: They're like smaller kid, but there's some strength and some thumb packed into is kind of compact frame.
20:32.338 --> 20:41.864
[SPEAKER_01]: There's hands speed above average power potentially to the pull side, plus back to ball skills to to to circle back with what you said he posted a
20:42.725 --> 20:47.006
[SPEAKER_01]: And ninety two percent in zone contact rate this spring at East Tennessee state.
20:48.166 --> 20:49.107
[SPEAKER_01]: He runs well.
20:49.587 --> 20:51.007
[SPEAKER_01]: He's turned in plus run times.
20:51.027 --> 20:52.407
[SPEAKER_01]: He's an effective base dealer.
20:53.208 --> 20:57.489
[SPEAKER_01]: The defense is kind of a question mark like where he sticks is kind of an unknown.
20:57.689 --> 20:58.909
[SPEAKER_01]: It's going to be somewhere on the dirt.
20:58.929 --> 21:01.270
[SPEAKER_01]: It's just a matter of where I think across.
21:02.650 --> 21:09.517
[SPEAKER_01]: his eleven games between low-a Augusta or single-a Augusta and high-a-rum.
21:10.137 --> 21:13.300
[SPEAKER_01]: He spent eight at short stop in the re-at-third.
21:13.320 --> 21:16.343
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm kind of curious to see if you can stick on the left side.
21:16.363 --> 21:20.867
[SPEAKER_01]: Or if you eventually move off to second but his start's been really encouraging.
21:21.548 --> 21:26.509
[SPEAKER_01]: And then the ninth round pick, I'm kind of blanking on which team took them.
21:26.549 --> 21:37.951
[SPEAKER_01]: I think also Atlanta, Logan Braunschwig from UAB Speedster, Batta Ball guy, like double plus runner, really good batta ball skills.
21:38.031 --> 21:44.032
[SPEAKER_01]: He's hitting four, twenty-five across four-year bats with high A-ROM.
21:44.252 --> 21:49.093
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, a minuscule sample size all things considered, but I think his star, I mean,
21:50.173 --> 21:52.875
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think his start has been outstanding.
21:53.075 --> 22:05.365
[SPEAKER_00]: If I took off the, if I took off the filter for top one hundred picks and just use forty plate appearances or more, Braunschweig is second behind Ethan Petrie in terms of OPS at ten o two.
22:05.746 --> 22:11.170
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's one of only two players, Petrie and Braunschweig with an OPS north of a thousand so far.
22:11.190 --> 22:14.793
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, with again, with that forty plus plate appearance threshold.
22:15.517 --> 22:31.925
[SPEAKER_01]: He's been fantastic kind of an interesting set of tools like this slash and dash almost kind of hitter at the plate not much juice to speak of but again double plus runner he's got he defense really well he's got an average if not a tick above arm.
22:33.445 --> 22:38.087
[SPEAKER_01]: He's consistently moves the baseball line drive oriented stroke.
22:38.307 --> 22:39.368
[SPEAKER_01]: Those are two I think.
22:40.739 --> 22:44.080
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if you can necessarily declare any pick a winner or loss.
22:44.100 --> 22:45.840
[SPEAKER_01]: Definitely not right now.
22:46.200 --> 22:51.921
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, at this point, obviously not, but I think that unless you're the pirates and you guys have to turn into six.
22:53.461 --> 22:58.002
[SPEAKER_01]: But no, I think those two guys, you can feel really happy if you're a land at least about their starts.
22:58.022 --> 23:01.843
[SPEAKER_01]: It'll be interesting just like it is with all these guys to see if they can keep it up.
23:01.943 --> 23:06.724
[SPEAKER_01]: But to to solid picks, at least so far there.
23:08.557 --> 23:14.992
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, on the other end of the spectrum, just kind of looking at some modest sample size and then performances or not.
23:15.698 --> 23:17.478
[SPEAKER_00]: Not off to the greatest start so far.
23:17.698 --> 23:21.419
[SPEAKER_00]: Among high end guys, I'll just look at top three round picks.
23:21.479 --> 23:23.500
[SPEAKER_00]: Mitch Voitte is off to a little bit of a struggle.
23:24.340 --> 23:26.620
[SPEAKER_00]: First rounder with the Mets, thirty-eighth picks.
23:26.660 --> 23:28.801
[SPEAKER_00]: So like, first rounder with an asterisk there.
23:29.801 --> 23:33.922
[SPEAKER_00]: Kyle Lodis with the white socks and the third round has struggled a bit.
23:33.982 --> 23:36.202
[SPEAKER_00]: Gavin Keeland with the giant says struggle a bit.
23:36.222 --> 23:39.443
[SPEAKER_00]: Ryan Wydeman with the pod rays, third rounder has struggled a bit.
23:41.843 --> 23:43.564
[SPEAKER_00]: Max Williams, third rounder with the Marlins.
23:44.344 --> 23:45.525
[SPEAKER_00]: a little bit of a slow start.
23:45.645 --> 23:50.027
[SPEAKER_00]: So Alex slowed D's as well with the brave second rounder.
23:50.047 --> 23:53.369
[SPEAKER_00]: A lot of these guys have had just some strikeout concerns that have
23:54.955 --> 23:57.396
[SPEAKER_00]: kind of limited what they can do offensively so far.
23:57.476 --> 23:59.096
[SPEAKER_00]: But let's move into the pictures.
23:59.156 --> 24:03.197
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, do we have anything to say about any of the arms right now?
24:03.237 --> 24:10.339
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I kind of looked at Joey Valene's three games as maybe the take away on the pitching side.
24:11.580 --> 24:19.582
[SPEAKER_00]: He's coming off obviously a really strong spring with Miami kind of surprised that he lasted to the sixth round.
24:20.822 --> 24:23.183
[SPEAKER_00]: Just given that performance, maybe maybe I would have
24:23.803 --> 24:33.307
[SPEAKER_00]: And again, I'm only thinking about him as like a fourth or fifth round or so, it's not like you might crazy lower than I would have expected, but I would have quite liked him maybe a multiple rounds higher than where the marlins got him.
24:33.327 --> 24:36.448
[SPEAKER_00]: But he's thrown in three games and relief has been quite good.
24:36.768 --> 24:38.289
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, it's only five innings of work.
24:38.329 --> 24:39.689
[SPEAKER_00]: He threw an inning in his debut.
24:39.709 --> 24:48.172
[SPEAKER_00]: And he threw two innings, the next outing, two innings again, had to be promoted from low A to high A. He struck out, I believe, half of the batters.
24:48.653 --> 24:49.733
[SPEAKER_00]: He's face so far.
24:50.633 --> 24:51.854
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, his H strikeouts.
24:52.934 --> 24:58.382
[SPEAKER_00]: And if I can get his battered face, number here, you know, sixteen played appearances.
24:58.402 --> 25:00.565
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's been quite good.
25:01.246 --> 25:08.396
[SPEAKER_00]: Outside of that, I don't really have too many strong takeaways on pitching front, but if you have any please throw them at me, Peter.
25:08.951 --> 25:11.695
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, he's been impressive statistically.
25:11.715 --> 25:14.099
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, he's he's leading the charge.
25:14.820 --> 25:16.823
[SPEAKER_01]: He's shown a knack for spinning the baseball.
25:16.883 --> 25:23.253
[SPEAKER_01]: It's a it's a lefty strike thrower with, you know, a little bit of stuff like it's it's pitchability over stuff.
25:23.293 --> 25:23.914
[SPEAKER_01]: No doubt, but.
25:24.895 --> 25:27.177
[SPEAKER_01]: Um, he's, he's been effective so far.
25:27.197 --> 25:31.039
[SPEAKER_01]: And this is after a, yeah, a pretty impressive workload of flooring.
25:31.059 --> 25:48.290
[SPEAKER_00]: And this is he's tied with three other pictures who lead all day beauty drafties with age strikeouts, Campton Edge with the Royals of the twenty-th rounder also has eight K's and seven point two innings of work, Jonathan Stevens with the twins, also has eight strikeouts and five point two innings of work, and then Carson Laws.
25:49.110 --> 25:52.492
[SPEAKER_00]: who joins Fellini as a new Marlon strappedy, fourteen throunder.
25:52.892 --> 25:55.934
[SPEAKER_00]: He has eight strikeouts in four point two innings.
25:56.034 --> 26:00.777
[SPEAKER_00]: Fellini kind of tops all these guys with eight strikeouts and no walks.
26:00.797 --> 26:02.398
[SPEAKER_00]: All the others have three or more.
26:02.518 --> 26:05.980
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's been pretty, pretty lights out for a Fellini.
26:06.020 --> 26:08.481
[SPEAKER_00]: Just one hit aloud and it runs again.
26:08.742 --> 26:12.224
[SPEAKER_00]: It's three outings, five innings, but it has been a good start.
26:13.244 --> 26:17.887
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it's, there really, you know, first little of,
26:18.791 --> 26:38.928
[SPEAKER_01]: if main takeaways or real takeaways we had on the hitting side like they're even less on the pitching side but I will say we wrote about him in our like ten of our favorite picks from day two article that's on the side at baseball america dot com but
26:39.430 --> 26:45.638
[SPEAKER_01]: Will McCouslin with Cleveland had a pretty emphatic pro debut had five k's across two clean innings.
26:47.540 --> 26:54.109
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think, you know, I wrote about him in that article and it's a really fun developmental pairing.
26:54.745 --> 27:01.249
[SPEAKER_01]: Um, with Cleveland, uh, he's, you know, it's a, it's a, stuff wise.
27:01.309 --> 27:03.290
[SPEAKER_01]: It's really, really intriguing with him.
27:03.370 --> 27:08.513
[SPEAKER_01]: Like he screams, reliever all the way, but he's got a chance to be a real fast mover and effective one.
27:09.314 --> 27:14.597
[SPEAKER_01]: Low, nineties fastballs like a legit invisible plays really well up in the zone.
27:14.997 --> 27:16.198
[SPEAKER_01]: Thanks to its riding life.
27:16.898 --> 27:31.022
[SPEAKER_01]: gets good extension on it he's going to super flat vertical approach angle this year at school at Ole Miss it was I think sub four which helps kind of create that ski ball rise ball whatever you want to call it effect.
27:31.422 --> 27:34.483
[SPEAKER_01]: Up in the zone and it had with and chase rates this sprang of.
27:35.143 --> 27:42.368
[SPEAKER_01]: thirty-eight percent and thirty-five percent respectively in his cut slider hybrid in the mid to upper eighties.
27:42.428 --> 27:45.151
[SPEAKER_01]: It's an effective secondary with late glove-side life.
27:46.391 --> 27:48.953
[SPEAKER_01]: It's also gotten intriguing kind of under the hood numbers.
27:49.654 --> 27:51.936
[SPEAKER_01]: It's a really effective one-two pawns.
27:51.956 --> 27:55.018
[SPEAKER_01]: He's an advanced striker and it kind of, you know,
27:56.333 --> 28:01.396
[SPEAKER_01]: the ability to command the baseball has helped him optimize each image is trades.
28:01.596 --> 28:03.677
[SPEAKER_01]: So I mean, I think he's got a chance to be a real fast move.
28:03.697 --> 28:04.958
[SPEAKER_01]: We're in his first outing alone.
28:04.978 --> 28:09.880
[SPEAKER_01]: And he generated a handful of whiffs.
28:10.021 --> 28:12.302
[SPEAKER_00]: That's for whiffs for the fast ball and tense swing.
28:12.342 --> 28:18.425
[SPEAKER_00]: So forty percent miss rate and just that game and surprising all those knew the top of his own rip of it.
28:18.997 --> 28:21.179
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, you took the words ran out of mouth.
28:21.279 --> 28:25.663
[SPEAKER_01]: It was, it was a handful of waves all up in the zone got one with the cut slide.
28:25.723 --> 28:37.913
[SPEAKER_01]: So, you know, it's next out here going and crap the bed and everything on a becomes a moot point, but it was nice to see him get off to a strong start and again, Cleveland's one of those organizations.
28:37.953 --> 28:40.636
[SPEAKER_01]: They're one of a handful, especially when they get their hands on a
28:42.536 --> 28:44.137
[SPEAKER_01]: on an exciting arm like that.
28:45.298 --> 28:49.882
[SPEAKER_01]: You get excited about how they might be able to develop that.
28:50.082 --> 28:58.409
[SPEAKER_00]: I wonder if they're still emphasizing and targeting IVB with fast balls to the extent that they were several years ago.
28:58.429 --> 29:06.635
[SPEAKER_00]: And a few years ago when we looked into it, they were one of the more aggressive teams in terms of just like IVB traits of their drafties.
29:06.655 --> 29:08.377
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll be curious to kind of run
29:09.094 --> 29:16.536
[SPEAKER_00]: a little bit of a research on that and sort of update who's towards the extremes of these various pitch trace and pitch types.
29:16.596 --> 29:23.198
[SPEAKER_00]: And I'm sure there are some teams that are hunting VA as much as they can and just trying to get these low lower lease guys.
29:23.338 --> 29:24.818
[SPEAKER_00]: But yeah.
29:25.158 --> 29:28.279
[SPEAKER_00]: So those are the kind of a debut names to mention at this point.
29:28.339 --> 29:29.119
[SPEAKER_00]: No, it's early days.
29:29.259 --> 29:32.120
[SPEAKER_00]: But anything else you want to mention for we get out of here, Peter?
29:33.541 --> 29:37.122
[SPEAKER_01]: No, no, no one in terms of debuts.
29:37.182 --> 29:38.402
[SPEAKER_01]: I think we hit on kind of the
29:39.748 --> 29:56.895
[SPEAKER_01]: the main notable guys, I mean, I think we touched on at the top, but both of those, uh, the, the oral straff picks and kind of that, you could call that fab five group of their first five picks, um, with Eich Irish and Caden Bowdoin or Swinging at Well too, unsurprisingly, but
29:57.575 --> 29:58.275
[SPEAKER_01]: No, that's really it.
29:58.395 --> 30:03.077
[SPEAKER_01]: At this point, ton of great stuff over on baseball america.com as per usual.
30:03.137 --> 30:10.680
[SPEAKER_01]: Carlos is going to have a super detailed area code games notebook on top of his already detailed east coast pro notebook.
30:12.300 --> 30:18.242
[SPEAKER_01]: We have our newly minted twenty twenty six college top hundred that came out last week.
30:18.822 --> 30:19.723
[SPEAKER_01]: Up to the reports.
30:20.303 --> 30:21.623
[SPEAKER_01]: Guys are shuffled around a little bit.
30:21.643 --> 30:23.224
[SPEAKER_01]: We've got additions, subtractions.
30:23.944 --> 30:30.408
[SPEAKER_01]: And all of that in a similar breath on August twenty seventh so five days will really just next Wednesday.
30:31.169 --> 30:36.252
[SPEAKER_01]: Um, there'll be an updated top fifty twenty twenty seven college guys.
30:36.313 --> 30:38.594
[SPEAKER_01]: And now our initial list was released in May.
30:39.174 --> 30:42.617
[SPEAKER_01]: So it's more housekeeping, shuffling guys around updating all those reports.
30:42.697 --> 30:44.378
[SPEAKER_01]: You'll see a few new additions in there.
30:44.458 --> 30:48.241
[SPEAKER_01]: But, um, kind of keep this train rolling and also shut up to
30:48.941 --> 30:52.243
[SPEAKER_01]: Ben Badler and Mrs. Badler on the birth of their child.
30:52.883 --> 30:54.044
[SPEAKER_01]: Brody Badler.
30:54.084 --> 30:54.484
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah.
30:54.624 --> 31:00.747
[SPEAKER_01]: Baseball name number one in the class of twenty forty three or four.
31:00.767 --> 31:02.468
[SPEAKER_01]: And it was the preschool.
31:02.929 --> 31:05.230
[SPEAKER_00]: Yes, congratulations to the Badler family.
31:05.310 --> 31:06.791
[SPEAKER_00]: Same birthday as Kevin McGonagall.
31:06.811 --> 31:16.516
[SPEAKER_00]: I know that is a very exciting for for Ben, but yeah, if you're also a future projection listener, we unsurprisingly will probably not be having
31:17.176 --> 31:25.986
[SPEAKER_00]: many future production episodes in the coming weeks as Ben welcomes a new new baby into the household so congrats to them hope they're all doing well.
31:27.067 --> 31:28.689
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, tuna said it better.
31:29.244 --> 31:29.464
[SPEAKER_00]: Cool.
31:29.864 --> 31:31.165
[SPEAKER_00]: Well, that's all we have for today.
31:31.226 --> 31:40.552
[SPEAKER_00]: If you guys do have any draft questions or any topics you want us to hit on, send them our way because now is the time where we can kind of get a little bit more creative in terms of what we're talking about.
31:40.592 --> 31:47.438
[SPEAKER_00]: We're going to do our typical draft review, more in-depth draft reviews, division by division later in the calendar.
31:47.558 --> 31:51.561
[SPEAKER_00]: Probably tie those more towards when our draft report cards are going to release.
31:52.681 --> 31:57.065
[SPEAKER_00]: But outside of that, it's kind of a Schmorgasporic of topics for us as we're in-between.
31:57.785 --> 32:04.872
[SPEAKER_00]: drafts in the early stages of next year's draft class, maybe we'll talk some twenty-seven's next week as Peter drops that list.
32:04.952 --> 32:18.224
[SPEAKER_00]: So if there's anything that you guys are curious about, want to hear us talk about having questions or comments for the draft pod, this duo in particular, Peter and myself, hit us up, we'll be happy to answer them.
32:18.344 --> 32:20.466
[SPEAKER_00]: So for Peter, I'm Carlos.
32:20.806 --> 32:22.608
[SPEAKER_00]: Thanks for listening everybody, and we'll see you next time.
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