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[SPEAKER_01]: All right, welcome back to another episode of the baseball America fantasy podcast.
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[SPEAKER_01]: This is your host Jeff Ponce alongside me.
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[SPEAKER_01]: As always, is my co-host is need deep and to fine-tuning the Robo Scout numbers each week.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It just had a wonderful Robo Scout article that dropped on the site on Sunday.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Always make sure you're checking those out.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They drop a few hours before fab.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So you can maybe sneak it by a couple of good bids by the other guys in your league.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I had a course in talking about Dylan White.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Dylan, what's going on, man?
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[SPEAKER_00]: Not too bad.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Not too bad doing the podcast on a different day.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I like it.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's still bright out here in Toronto and usually stuck.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I like the earlier week podcast on the fantasy side of it.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Now, I'm never sure what the utility is if it's better to record on like
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[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know the weekend, but then some of the things happen and then like Fabs already kind of happened on Sunday night.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So it's a better record on Thursday and release on Friday, but then we have like 50 podcasts that drop on Friday.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I never know.
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[SPEAKER_01]: This is a happy medium for
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's before the full minor league season week.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Excuse me, minor league week starts.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And at this point, you're kind of not thinking wrong decisions you're thinking, what am I going to be following for the next fab?
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[SPEAKER_01]: So we're going to come in.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And we're going to drop some under the radar data standouts and guys that have popped on some of the data that we were able to get our hands on from the first month of the season.
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[SPEAKER_01]: really interesting times we're going to go five and five I think that is a good format for us it allows us to talk about a bunch of different players kind of go back and forth Dylan as always I'm very polite as a co-host so I'm going to give you the first pick who is the first name you want to talk about that you feels maybe a little bit underappreciated in the general prospect space but particularly in the fantasy dynasty space right now.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So I wanted to say that last May 11th, I had a where we're scutterical come out and the low A hitting leader.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Number one was Luis Peña.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Number two was Andrew Salas, who we've talked about before.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He was very young at the time.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He started off gangbusters and then he got a slow down to the age of Ewing, Hazel Smade, Eduardo Cantaro, everyone else go bar.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So like the top names this early in the season are our names.
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[UNKNOWN]: So
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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, there is some validity to Roboscoat, even this early in the season, and so I'm going to pick the guy who is six in low A and that is Robert Arias of the guardians.
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[SPEAKER_00]: 19 years old, I feel they're center fielder, place pretty good defense.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He has a 148 WRC plus for home runs 15 soul and bases.
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[SPEAKER_00]: That projects as a 19 year old playing in low eight, that projects have a peak projection of around 263 batting average 340 on base and 20 home run 21 home runs and 22 stolen bases.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Um, what I like about the data is he always runs contact as you'd expect from a guardian's prospect very good contact rates last year.
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[SPEAKER_00]: His in zone contact was 88% this year 91% early in the season.
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[SPEAKER_00]: This 90th percentile last year is what a 1.7
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[SPEAKER_00]: Miles per hour as an 18-year-old.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It's the early as 103.4.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's added some strength, which we like to see with these Guardians prospects.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I like the fact he plays a good center field, so it's a nice up the middle defensive position.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's getting on base.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He makes contact and he's got
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's, you know, hard hit rate of about 40% which is, um, also almost plus for the level very young, etc.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, 2020 could contact good defense.
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[SPEAKER_00]: That's a good good prospect.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I haven't really seen him getting too much buzz.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's one of those guys that people have as like just outside the top 100 or this guy could pop is a helium name.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So I just think, you know, get in now if you can Robert areas.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, and as we say with any guardian's prospect, he makes lots of contact and he hits left handed.
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[SPEAKER_01]: You could just assume those things when you say guardians' prospect.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Most of the guys that they have hit left handed or switch, so they hit left handed sometimes, and they make lots of contact.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's always a trip to think that a right hand or whatever, a full-time righty would ever be in that lineup, but I guess it's possible.
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[SPEAKER_01]: we could see what happens.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Arrius is a really good one and I think that, you know, you know, I mean, the approach is somewhat aggressive.
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[SPEAKER_01]: You know, the per plate appearance, hitch average is on the lower side.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's under three and a half.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But some of that is because he's got a 9% in his own mystery.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So, you know, when he does swing at strikes, he hits them and he's hitting them pretty hard, 40.6% hard hit rate as well.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So, impressive numbers for him and somebody that will be really interesting to sort of follow over the next year and see how this plays out through 26 and then into 27.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But I think definitely a name that
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[SPEAKER_01]: In leagues of, I don't know what you're doing.
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[SPEAKER_01]: You say maybe 250 prospects or less, like he's kind of relevant right now.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I think if you have that last bench spot, he's worth taking a fly or on and seeing him where that all goes.
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[SPEAKER_01]: All right, my first name, a little bit less under the radar than Dylan's, but somebody that I do think is a little bit under appreciated still and fantasy leagues just in terms of what he brings to the table.
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[SPEAKER_01]: There might be some fantasy sights out there and there's so many prospect rankings at this point.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Very different from what I started doing this in 2016 where it was pretty much me and I guess, I guess, how but that point or imaginary brick wall.
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[SPEAKER_01]: super athletic, lefty power.
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[SPEAKER_01]: The power is really the standout tool.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's got speed as well.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I think that's probably hand in hand.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's a power speed play here.
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[SPEAKER_01]: The skills are a little iffy.
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[SPEAKER_01]: There is some whiff with pain.
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[SPEAKER_01]: There's going to probably remain to be some whiff with pain.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Just a matter of him sort of
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[SPEAKER_01]: having quality enough swing decisions and sort of keeping that in zone misrate at an acceptable level.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's kind of a little bit above that threshold now, but hopefully it goes down a little bit, but the 108.890th percentile is keeping coming back.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Really good numbers against off speed and soft stuff.
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[SPEAKER_01]: At least in the month of April had a 1075 ops against changeups, a 1508 ops against spin of all types was hitting right as well was hitting left as well as well some of it was was against fast balls guys with bad speed like this.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I tend not to panic about fastball numbers early in the season, because some of that stuff is fluked, right?
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[SPEAKER_01]: And we don't, we get some of these OPS numbers.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We don't know what the batting average on balls and play is against fastballs, right?
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[SPEAKER_01]: And how that all factors it.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
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[SPEAKER_01]: If he's hitting soft stuff and he's hitting it for power, some of that might be the swing path is a little bit lower in his own, a little bit, you know.
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[SPEAKER_01]: better equipped to handle spin stuff that's dropping right and kind of meeting it there.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think it's a bad speed thing, especially when you see a guy with a 108.8, 90 of percentile and kind of the data and physicality to back that.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I'm in with pain.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I understand that, you know, there might be some skeptics due to some of the swing and miss, but I think with these power speed guys that have some approach that do get
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[SPEAKER_01]: You know, you start to get past like 60, which you're making your top 100 list right now.
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[SPEAKER_01]: You haven't had that influx of talent come in from the draft yet.
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[SPEAKER_01]: You've had a lot of guys graduate.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And if you're somebody who ranks out prospects, who looks at prospects as guys that aren't in the majors or haven't debuted, he's probably somewhere on that top 100 guys that haven't debuted for me.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So, I think Brayland pains are really interesting one.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And I think it's one that could potentially continue to scale up
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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, he is ninth in the high A, robust count and just for the sake of posterity from last year, high A at this time, number one, Leo de Vri number two, Jacob Rimer, big breakout number three, Max Clark number four host weight of Paula number five,
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[SPEAKER_00]: and pretend host sway per senio.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So these are all top names.
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[SPEAKER_00]: That was the top ten last year and a frail in pains in the top ten already this year at this point like he's a name.
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[SPEAKER_00]: To keep your eye on, so concur.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Roblescope concurrence and validates and endorses your statement.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's good.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Let's go.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Let's go back to the robot here and yourself.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Who's your next name.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to do it.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Say in a little way, though, actually he was promoted to hi a year.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Jeremy or Jeremy.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to say Jeremy.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Washington Nationals outfielders as well, playing some set of field, but probably a corner also playing right field.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He was part of the McKenzie core trade that also got Governor Fitzgerald having been punch guys that maybe the Rangers may regret.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe more parr I have Mackenzie Gore and a few teams and I'll tell you I really regret turning down some of the offers I got from Mackenzie Gore after that trade because I was like, oh he's going to be great for the Rangers he's going to be powerful now I'm like I could have traded this guy for players that are multiple players that are out producing him right now, but anyway, that's in the side.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So I said like him is young he goes slow and gets stuck as that's like Mackenzie Gore.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Anyway, here we go, so, you know, we talked about Robert Ares being a 2020 guy.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So as the Army Cabrera, he's like one year older in like season age.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He has a 188 WRC plus 7 homeruns 18 stolen bases, like I said, as a 20 year old in low-eye, just got promoted to
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[SPEAKER_00]: Um, he had a 82% in zone contact last year with a 101.690th percentile.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's at 77% in zone contact basically to say I'm basically average for the league, but his 90th percentile's 104.8 is hard hit rates 43%.
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[SPEAKER_00]: There's a bit of chase to his game, but if you take, I think the Ops Dean made a comment that one of the quick quick and dirty stats they use when he was with Red Sox was like I so times in zone contact.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So Jeremy Cabrera has a nice so of 315 is in zone of 77%.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's near the top of the league.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Average using that metric is like 0.1 and he's at like 0.24.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, McAbra is hitting the heck out of the ball, still 18 basis, 28 homerons, 24 stolen bases at peak, above average WRC plus.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Again, I don't think he's a name that people know, definitely know, especially because of the production he's doing, but he's not someone that's everyone's talking about, top 100 prospect, or maybe even top fantasy, top 100 fantasy prospect.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I think I'm not trying to say I found him or anything, but he definitely should be in that conversation because power speed blend, he plays a pretty good defense and yeah, contact and power and speed.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So the Army Cabrera, the Army Cabrera.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, no, I think it's, I think it's a year for me, like Jeremy with a why, but I could be wrong.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's how it was said to me, I saw him in spring training on the backfield.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He was a name that was called out to me by some of the Nats folks, somebody that like, They think, you know, as maybe a little underrated and could could jump up a little bit this year.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, playing center field, there's power, there's speed and the production, you know, starting to kind of match.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He took a while, like getting off the complex and all that with the rangers and it seems like he's kind of accelerated.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's really interesting a lot of these guys that the Nats inherited as well as guys that they had brought in.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I've taken pretty substantial gains under the new management and direction and player development group.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It'll be interesting to see where all this goes and if that maintains throughout, you know, the entirety of the season.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I was think it's great when guys are showing some new stuff early in the year, we have to remember that a big part of it is also main
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[SPEAKER_01]: painting those skills.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But I think Kabara is a legitimate one.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I've added him in a few different leagues as well.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Deeper leagues where, you know, like some of the names that are on the wire, but had an open spot for the miners, whatever it is, and we get to call them, so we get to her, you know what it works.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So I was able to add them.
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[SPEAKER_01]: One name I want to call out here, Dylan, is Aaron Walpton from the Guardians.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So sometimes it's not necessarily inside scoops or, you know, I don't write the Guardian system, so I don't know, you know, all these guys off top of my head, but obviously like Walton was decently revered as an amateur was what a second round guy last year out of Arizona got a decent bonus.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So it's not, it's not
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[SPEAKER_01]: out of left field here with Walton and, you know, the production has been very solid 3, 11, 407, 557 over 28 games.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's got five home runs.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's got nine steals.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's with high a late county.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He did debut for about 16 games last year and kind of put somewhat underwhelming.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I know it's an above average WRC plus, but kind of underwhelming numbers with Lynchburg.
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[SPEAKER_01]: This year, though, the data is really pop and doing.
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[SPEAKER_01]: A lot of pitches per plate appearances for 0.2, 16% in zone with rate, 21.8% chase rate with a 107.5 mile per hour 90%, 45.8% hard hit rate as well.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Kind of look at that.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I factor in the bad at ball profile a little bit.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's a guy that can pull the ball, can pull the ball in the air.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's a decent fly ball rated 35 percent ground ball rates.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Kind of acceptable at 40 percent.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's kind of a good balance.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Sometimes you do want some ground balls.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's going to boost the batting average more often than not.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And then a decent line
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[SPEAKER_01]: mostly has seen time in center field.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's played some right field as well and some left.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's a really interesting prospect.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know how high this all goes necessarily, but I do think this is maybe a name in deeper leagues.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's probably unowned that probably
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[SPEAKER_01]: should be rostered.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Just based on what the underlying data is, what the production is, and is it high A?
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[SPEAKER_01]: And he seems like a guy that's maybe could push his way to Akron by the middle of the summer.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So Aaron Walton, he kind of heard it here first.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They haven't heard him mention the lap by people, but the underlying data absolutely backs the production that we've seen so far.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And I know it's high, I know it's a college hitter.
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[SPEAKER_01]: how hard it typically is to hit in the Midwest league over the first month plus the season because it's still really cold up there.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Even in comparison to somewhere like Massachusetts where it is kind of cold beginning of the season or even Maine, it gets really cold, really windy up there kind of tough conditions, not the easiest place to hit.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So Kudos to Aaron Walton for doing that.
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[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's a really interesting name.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's probably widely available on a lot of your weeks.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, see the guy I actually looked at a couple weeks ago, because looking at the stack I said, I kind of what I do before I write my articles, I have the RoboSkow cheat and then I go down to like, what are the names I want to look at?
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[SPEAKER_00]: And then who are names that I have to scroll down for that have good underlying data?
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[SPEAKER_00]: Because often that's kind of where I find like the Aaron Walton or like Cole Mathis who was popping like early in season and like Cole Carrig, these are guys who
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[SPEAKER_00]: They got other sites that are writing about, but I don't have on here, but it's the underlying data cell in an air and Walton plot with that, you know, the hit plus number that we, we calculate, I have a 115, which is which is pretty high.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So here's the guy I actually had my eye on, I looked at some video and I was interested, it's just, you know, 22 in high A, I'm like, I don't know, I don't know if there's super star material and I was looking for that when that when I was making my fab picks, so I do like that, and he was a guy that I was looking into.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So let's move to double A. I'm going to pick Anderson, Dela Santas of the Baltimore Orioles.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, he was a guy that in 2021 and DSL, he was actually playing some shortstop and third base.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, kind of became clear.
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[SPEAKER_00]: He's on a shortstop.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm moving third base now is basically first base, first base DH slash third base.
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[SPEAKER_00]: But what I like about him, he was a guy I had my eye on coming into this year because he had pretty good data last year.
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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, solid contact, kind of average contact, there's an idea that was at 104 miles an hour, which is better than average, he chases it a little less than average, get a good barrel right.
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[SPEAKER_00]: So just the guy had like he was a guy that I noted, and this year he's kind of improved on that he was leading or in the amongst the leaders at WRC plus.
17:57.922 --> 18:00.228
[SPEAKER_00]: uh, in AA earlier in the season.
18:00.669 --> 18:08.629
[SPEAKER_00]: It's kind of come down a bit, but you know, he's hitting the ball 90th percent of 106.7 is basically not chasing at all.
18:09.130 --> 18:09.872
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's.
18:10.257 --> 18:17.788
[SPEAKER_00]: He's got a walk rate of 18.2% so far this year, updated as of through Sunday's games.
18:18.509 --> 18:21.434
[SPEAKER_00]: There's a 133 WRC plus, like I said, he had a very high one at the beginning.
18:21.454 --> 18:22.575
[SPEAKER_00]: He says it's kind of come down a bit.
18:22.936 --> 18:26.120
[SPEAKER_00]: Five home runs, though, as a 22-year-old, two-stolen basis.
18:27.122 --> 18:29.886
[SPEAKER_00]: Not kind of projects out as a league average hitter with
18:29.866 --> 18:33.314
[SPEAKER_00]: 18 to 20 home runs, but I like the data.
18:33.414 --> 18:35.659
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I said, the he has a lot of thump.
18:36.220 --> 18:42.253
[SPEAKER_00]: He's got to have to overcome a lot because of the defensive profile playing a first base slash DH maybe third base and a pitch.
18:43.756 --> 18:47.284
[SPEAKER_00]: But I do like the data and I'm curious to see how it goes.
18:47.568 --> 18:48.610
[SPEAKER_00]: He started off high heat.
18:48.650 --> 18:52.637
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he peaked it like number five a couple weeks ago and now he's kind of slipped down to like 20th.
18:53.158 --> 19:01.373
[SPEAKER_00]: So I just want to see if these days in the in the top 20, but there's a guy who's underline data is pretty compelling to me Anderson Delos Santos Baltimore is.
19:02.275 --> 19:04.098
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I agree with that one.
19:04.118 --> 19:10.690
[SPEAKER_01]: I think that, you know, there's power here, there's unlike the contacts a little iffy.
19:11.125 --> 19:14.570
[SPEAKER_01]: but the swing decisions are excellent, works really deep in accounts.
19:14.951 --> 19:16.854
[SPEAKER_01]: That's kind of enough to get me out of board.
19:17.054 --> 19:18.897
[SPEAKER_01]: So, I am with you there.
19:19.097 --> 19:20.139
[SPEAKER_01]: We've got you five so far.
19:20.179 --> 19:23.403
[SPEAKER_01]: We're doing 10, we're gonna take a quick break right now.
19:24.004 --> 19:27.129
[SPEAKER_01]: We come back, we'll do the other five, and get you out of here.
19:28.030 --> 19:28.631
[SPEAKER_01]: We'll be right back.
19:31.195 --> 19:32.898
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, and we are back.
19:33.098 --> 19:39.107
[SPEAKER_01]: We are talking some under the radar, under the radar, data standouts here.
19:39.661 --> 19:41.563
[SPEAKER_01]: Dylan just went through his first three.
19:41.623 --> 19:44.166
[SPEAKER_01]: I went through my first two to review those five names.
19:44.206 --> 19:49.132
[SPEAKER_01]: It is Robert Arias of the Guardians, Braille and Pain, of the Brewers.
19:49.892 --> 19:59.763
[SPEAKER_01]: Yerame Cabrera of the Nationals, Aaron Walton of the Guardians, and Anderson Dayless Santos is the last one we just talked about from Dylan of the Orials.
19:59.823 --> 20:02.747
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm gonna pick my third guy now to go in on.
20:04.068 --> 20:07.592
[SPEAKER_01]: This is kind of an interesting one because I guess I,
20:07.758 --> 20:17.127
[SPEAKER_01]: I never thought this would be a name that I was super into and it's funny because it's also a player who has a...
20:18.625 --> 20:23.650
[SPEAKER_01]: same name, a naval gag or a doppelgag or a name-wise, I don't know, is there a term for this?
20:25.231 --> 20:28.434
[SPEAKER_01]: Jared Jones, the Pirates, not that Jared Jones, not the pitcher.
20:28.494 --> 20:31.417
[SPEAKER_01]: This is the slugger that was drafted in the ninth round.
20:31.617 --> 20:35.741
[SPEAKER_01]: Out of LSU had a fairly historic college career.
20:35.801 --> 20:38.584
[SPEAKER_01]: He hit 28 homeruns as a sophomore LSU.
20:38.985 --> 20:47.873
[SPEAKER_01]: He hit 22 homeruns as a junior at LSU, you know, had a absolutely insane number of homeruns in the SEC.
20:47.853 --> 20:50.357
[SPEAKER_01]: It's strike out quite a bit out of the draft last year.
20:50.397 --> 20:53.021
[SPEAKER_01]: He's still striking out quite a bit.
20:54.163 --> 20:59.031
[SPEAKER_01]: I know that it's Greensboro and all that kind of goes with that and the question marks.
20:59.972 --> 21:05.622
[SPEAKER_01]: But 304-374-471 slash line right now.
21:05.642 --> 21:08.406
[SPEAKER_01]: He has four home runs 10.4% walk rate.
21:08.907 --> 21:11.591
[SPEAKER_01]: It is unfortunately a 33.9% with rate.
21:11.731 --> 21:13.995
[SPEAKER_01]: I will say,
21:14.870 --> 21:18.876
[SPEAKER_01]: Despite that, he has pretty good plate discipline numbers.
21:18.916 --> 21:21.199
[SPEAKER_01]: It's a 24% chase rate, so not absurd.
21:21.239 --> 21:22.400
[SPEAKER_01]: We saw what the walk rate is.
21:22.841 --> 21:24.123
[SPEAKER_01]: It's only a 19% mistake.
21:24.523 --> 21:32.194
[SPEAKER_01]: When I see a 33% strikeout rate dillon, there could be some passivity guys taking pictures in the zone.
21:32.214 --> 21:35.999
[SPEAKER_01]: A lot sort of thing, we don't have his exact zone swing numbers.
21:36.099 --> 21:36.540
[SPEAKER_01]: But,
21:37.921 --> 21:59.710
[SPEAKER_01]: That said, 19% in zone misrate with a lower chase rate tells me that there's maybe some flukiness that maybe the true strike out rate is probably a little bit lower than that and this is coming with huge power 48% hard hit rate of 107.1 90th percentile EV.
22:00.061 --> 22:02.865
[SPEAKER_01]: I think that this is, it's a deeper lead name.
22:03.105 --> 22:04.467
[SPEAKER_01]: Once again, this is not somebody.
22:04.747 --> 22:14.720
[SPEAKER_01]: I think it's probably more like 300 or so prospects roster in the league where Jones is probably relevant, maybe worth one of those spots at the end of your minor league bench.
22:16.002 --> 22:21.529
[SPEAKER_01]: But the big power that's here and some of the underlying data that goes along with it,
22:21.509 --> 22:29.820
[SPEAKER_01]: kind of has me buying into it a little bit more than those that are just checking the fan grasp page and seeing the strikeout rate and kind of all that stuff.
22:30.361 --> 22:32.805
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I mean, you know, there are some swinging strikes here.
22:32.825 --> 22:35.388
[SPEAKER_01]: I do think when you look at the power.
22:37.150 --> 22:45.542
[SPEAKER_01]: And how much she's chasing versus how much she's swinging, you know, there's a little bit more than a 20% delta between those two numbers and is dealing with.
22:45.522 --> 22:46.464
[SPEAKER_01]: found out over the years.
22:46.525 --> 22:48.389
[SPEAKER_01]: A typically means that you have a higher zone swing.
22:48.510 --> 22:50.856
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think this can tighten up a little bit.
22:50.936 --> 22:52.099
[SPEAKER_01]: I want to bind to the power.
22:52.119 --> 22:59.498
[SPEAKER_01]: I want to bind the fact that the guy that can bats spin the ball and has kind of a historic upside in terms of his SEC production at LSU.
23:00.001 --> 23:15.657
[SPEAKER_01]: But it's a lot cheaper than some of these other guys, like an Andrew Fisher or some of these other players that you're buying into the same exact profile at a much higher opportunity cost, whether it's an FYPD or in trades, or he gets dropped in somebody's throwing out bigger fab dollars.
23:16.057 --> 23:19.621
[SPEAKER_01]: You might be able to sneak Jared Jones through an a deeper league like that for a couple of bucks.
23:19.841 --> 23:23.845
[SPEAKER_01]: So just think it's a name to maybe keep in mind here doing.
23:23.865 --> 23:28.590
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if you had any thoughts on Jared Jones, or if you wanted to just jump into your next name.
23:29.279 --> 23:31.383
[SPEAKER_00]: I like that he improved.
23:31.423 --> 23:33.246
[SPEAKER_00]: I only had a brief couple coffee last year.
23:33.306 --> 23:36.632
[SPEAKER_00]: We chased a lot and he didn't make much contact.
23:36.652 --> 23:40.178
[SPEAKER_00]: He's in much improved those things that he just talked about still with the power too.
23:40.238 --> 23:41.780
[SPEAKER_00]: So I like that there have been some improvements.
23:42.602 --> 23:44.485
[SPEAKER_00]: I'd like to see that strike out right from down.
23:44.525 --> 23:46.368
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, so he's a guy.
23:46.849 --> 23:51.156
[SPEAKER_00]: But if it dips below 30%, then that's like definitely pounds for sure.
23:51.197 --> 23:54.983
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I would, especially because of all the power you're talking about, I see it here.
23:55.503 --> 23:57.505
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm going to jump into my fourth name.
23:57.565 --> 24:06.794
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a guy who in last year, 2025, you only had a one 19 WRC plus in high A as a 22 year old.
24:06.814 --> 24:08.796
[SPEAKER_00]: We just talked about Aaron Walton as a 22 year old.
24:08.816 --> 24:11.499
[SPEAKER_00]: So this is a 19 WRC plus barely above average.
24:12.279 --> 24:13.701
[SPEAKER_00]: And why do we care about him?
24:13.901 --> 24:15.102
[SPEAKER_00]: Well, we talked about him as a sleeper.
24:15.142 --> 24:17.404
[SPEAKER_00]: This is Sean Keyes of the Toronto Blue Jays.
24:17.424 --> 24:21.088
[SPEAKER_00]: He was a sleeper because the underlying data last year.
24:21.068 --> 24:33.188
[SPEAKER_00]: Much like Nathan Fluelling was not not true indicator, sorry, his production was not a true indicator, what is underlying skills where he had a better than average contact in his own contact.
24:33.208 --> 24:36.012
[SPEAKER_00]: He had a 105 mile per hour, 90% out.
24:36.073 --> 24:37.114
[SPEAKER_00]: He barely chased.
24:37.174 --> 24:40.680
[SPEAKER_00]: He had a better than average barrel rate last year.
24:40.660 --> 24:42.964
[SPEAKER_00]: And this year, he was making waves and spring training.
24:42.984 --> 24:44.988
[SPEAKER_00]: The Jay's gave him a pretty big look.
24:45.008 --> 24:47.212
[SPEAKER_00]: He stayed deep into the spring training.
24:47.933 --> 24:49.375
[SPEAKER_00]: And he was crushing and spring training.
24:49.416 --> 24:53.984
[SPEAKER_00]: And he's kind of come out of the gate meeting those expectations that we were writing about last year.
24:54.725 --> 24:59.293
[SPEAKER_00]: His 90th percentilexicalosity is one on nine point four, is early.
24:59.273 --> 25:05.224
[SPEAKER_00]: is hard hit rate 60% where average for the level is 41% right now.
25:05.705 --> 25:15.342
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's just like crushing the ball that ISO times Z contact status talking about, he's like more than twice the average.
25:15.727 --> 25:35.220
[SPEAKER_00]: He has 10 home runs right now with a 170 WRC plus as a 23 year old now in double a, he is 8th in row was scout, he projects out to 29 home runs 10 stolen bases 207 WRC plus base on on that projection.
25:35.200 --> 25:40.648
[SPEAKER_00]: So this is a guy that we saw the underlying last year and now it's actualizing.
25:41.109 --> 25:52.506
[SPEAKER_00]: So kind of like we're talking about your Jones, like you see the underlying, you see the thump, you see he doesn't chase, you see he's got good swing decisions and you know, he's just a matter of time before it starts actualizing into production.
25:52.667 --> 25:54.289
[SPEAKER_00]: So Sean Keys is my fourth name.
25:56.176 --> 26:07.079
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, and you know, I love Sean Kees on this weekend, um, you know, with that Toronto team, and I'm actually going to go, excuse me to, new hamster AA Toronto affiliate.
26:07.099 --> 26:08.081
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to go back to that.
26:08.161 --> 26:10.145
[SPEAKER_01]: These guys actually hit back to back in the order.
26:10.225 --> 26:15.516
[SPEAKER_01]: I think the Mala might have been hit third or maybe keys was third and the Mala was second Eddie McEletti, Jr. somebody.
26:15.556 --> 26:17.340
[SPEAKER_01]: It's like years ago on the cape.
26:18.603 --> 26:20.064
[SPEAKER_01]: He's not a great athlete.
26:20.945 --> 26:24.669
[SPEAKER_01]: Defense is not what you're buying into here with Eddie McAletty.
26:26.251 --> 26:30.735
[SPEAKER_01]: But I do think the underlying data is really good.
26:31.416 --> 26:33.578
[SPEAKER_01]: He's been hitting lead off for this team for a reason.
26:34.859 --> 26:40.745
[SPEAKER_01]: The slash line's 25538548, it's a 14.8% walk rated 22.1%.
26:42.067 --> 26:46.551
[SPEAKER_01]: Percent strikeout ratings get five home runs so far.
26:47.392 --> 26:49.534
[SPEAKER_01]: puts the ball on the ground more than you would like.
26:50.656 --> 26:56.682
[SPEAKER_01]: But I think that's probably somewhat fixable when you consider what the contact rate is, what the plate skills are here.
26:56.742 --> 27:05.152
[SPEAKER_01]: And this team just always pumps out these sort of underrated under scouted guys with good hit tools.
27:05.452 --> 27:11.779
[SPEAKER_01]: And when you look at the underlying data, kind of an average number of pitches per plate appearance is just under four pitches.
27:12.788 --> 27:16.935
[SPEAKER_01]: 15% in his own miss 13.5% chase rate down.
27:16.975 --> 27:20.562
[SPEAKER_01]: That's one of the best chase rates that you are going to see in the minor leagues.
27:20.582 --> 27:25.691
[SPEAKER_01]: And I think even more impressive is a 40.5% swing rate.
27:26.132 --> 27:28.115
[SPEAKER_01]: Once again, that's a really good delta.
27:28.175 --> 27:30.259
[SPEAKER_01]: That tells me that he does attack pitches in his own.
27:30.299 --> 27:33.244
[SPEAKER_01]: I can tell you having seen Eddie McEletti now.
27:33.359 --> 27:37.924
[SPEAKER_01]: multiple spring trainings on the Cape, when he was with or I think it was our leans.
27:38.625 --> 27:41.708
[SPEAKER_01]: And then now a new Hampshire, that holds true.
27:42.089 --> 27:44.231
[SPEAKER_01]: There was also good underlying power here.
27:44.251 --> 27:54.122
[SPEAKER_01]: 106.2 mile per hour, 90th percentile exit velocity, a 51.8% hard hit rate down to go along with all that.
27:54.142 --> 27:56.965
[SPEAKER_01]: So yes, he is hitting the ball in the ground a little bit more.
27:57.425 --> 28:02.691
[SPEAKER_01]: When I look at sort of the total picture and take a step back, I think this is an interesting player,
28:02.671 --> 28:28.915
[SPEAKER_01]: They're hitting them at the top of a good line up right now that you have to keep as good as it's been for a while and I'm really kind of interested to see where this goes this is probably more 400 to 500 prospects rostered I don't think this is, you know, even a mid tier deep league this is more of a play for a deep deep league year and one of those crazy 13 leagues where like any prospect and get rostered I think this is a guy that's slipping under the radar and a lot of different.
28:28.895 --> 28:30.879
[SPEAKER_01]: leagues and looks pretty damn good.
28:31.280 --> 28:38.815
[SPEAKER_01]: So I don't know if you have any thoughts I'm making a letty junior if he's come across any of your Robo scout work or anything like that, but I did find him to be kind of interesting.
28:38.855 --> 28:41.520
[SPEAKER_01]: The data was good, saw him this week and figured I would bring it up.
28:42.883 --> 28:45.167
[SPEAKER_00]: No, he is he has a hit plus of 113.
28:45.929 --> 28:47.332
[SPEAKER_00]: Like that, then you have your team is good.
28:47.352 --> 28:50.498
[SPEAKER_00]: Like Sean, he is 118, Jason Boroughen.
28:50.748 --> 28:54.155
[SPEAKER_00]: Is at 120, he's got 10 home runs as well.
28:54.456 --> 28:56.079
[SPEAKER_00]: Arjun Namala has a good one, obviously.
28:56.099 --> 28:57.963
[SPEAKER_00]: And Aaron Parker has been making some waves.
28:58.023 --> 29:01.330
[SPEAKER_00]: I saw some highlights on Blue Jays Player development on Twitter.
29:01.350 --> 29:03.074
[SPEAKER_00]: I like what the jays are doing there.
29:03.595 --> 29:08.084
[SPEAKER_00]: And he is a name who's in, who's popping on the underlying for sure.
29:09.888 --> 29:11.271
[SPEAKER_00]: I will do my last name.
29:12.095 --> 29:18.246
[SPEAKER_00]: Oh, I forgot to, I didn't read my AA of Roblescut leaders from last year, so I'll just finish that off.
29:18.266 --> 29:18.366
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
29:18.747 --> 29:21.211
[SPEAKER_00]: Number one last year at this time, Jet Williams.
29:21.672 --> 29:22.894
[SPEAKER_00]: Number two, Bryce Eldridge.
29:22.914 --> 29:24.637
[SPEAKER_00]: Number three, Sebastian Volcott.
29:25.118 --> 29:32.671
[SPEAKER_00]: Number four, Yohendrick Pinyango speaking of the jays, and Guy who has been plank fairly well in the major league so far.
29:32.691 --> 29:35.436
[SPEAKER_00]: Luke Adams, number five, Brock Wilkin.
29:35.416 --> 29:37.279
[SPEAKER_00]: Number seven, George Lombard Jr.
29:37.339 --> 29:42.529
[SPEAKER_00]: Number eight, Hector Rodriguez of Cincinnati, kind of underrated guy, number nine, Cooper Pratt, and pretend Jack Kagley out.
29:42.950 --> 29:44.072
[SPEAKER_00]: Number 11, Ryan Clifford.
29:44.092 --> 29:46.877
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, these names are names that we've all heard of.
29:47.838 --> 29:57.576
[SPEAKER_00]: So if you're in the top 10, even this early, where we'll scout these a name that you probably want to have rostered in, even shallow, really, except like 200 prospects.
29:57.556 --> 29:59.539
[SPEAKER_00]: So my last name, another double a name.
30:00.060 --> 30:04.647
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a guy who I didn't know anything about 24 years old.
30:04.747 --> 30:08.313
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's a bit older, even for double a.
30:08.654 --> 30:11.037
[SPEAKER_00]: And that's Jonah Cox.
30:11.258 --> 30:13.181
[SPEAKER_00]: Francisco Giants, Planks Center Field.
30:13.742 --> 30:15.064
[SPEAKER_00]: Planks pretty good center field.
30:15.164 --> 30:17.067
[SPEAKER_00]: He is...
30:17.317 --> 30:25.548
[SPEAKER_00]: fifth in WRC plus in the entire WA, if you take the minimum plate of appearances to be like 80, he's number one.
30:25.868 --> 30:35.141
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's a 206 WRC plus, he's got a lot of speed as 18 stolen bases, playing goods in her field with good WRC plus.
30:35.181 --> 30:39.707
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's a name that projects out well, even though he's older.
30:39.807 --> 30:40.708
[SPEAKER_00]: So,
30:40.688 --> 30:52.105
[SPEAKER_00]: Robusco projects and will have 11 WRC plus at peak, which is only a few years away because he's older, 15 home runs 35 stolen bases, that's a pretty good fantasy player.
30:52.165 --> 31:04.823
[SPEAKER_00]: He plays good defense, so he could get maybe he's a fourth outfielder, but maybe he he gets hot and he gets to play all the time because he's good defense, the underlying isn't the greatest he's kind of average and especially because he's
31:04.803 --> 31:07.691
[SPEAKER_00]: 24, you know, you want to be much better than average.
31:07.711 --> 31:11.480
[SPEAKER_00]: He has a one on 3.5, 90th percentile flexibility, which is average for the level.
31:11.681 --> 31:15.150
[SPEAKER_00]: He has a 78% inzo contact, which is basically average for the level.
31:15.637 --> 31:19.505
[SPEAKER_00]: his hard hit rate is 38% which is basically average for the level.
31:20.727 --> 31:26.719
[SPEAKER_00]: But what happened last year was he chased at 31% and the year before 30% and this year it's only 21%.
31:26.999 --> 31:35.776
[SPEAKER_00]: So it looks like he's making better swing decisions or maybe he's being passed on just waiting for his pitch but it's obviously manifesting in production.
31:35.877 --> 31:36.598
[SPEAKER_00]: So
31:36.578 --> 31:51.988
[SPEAKER_00]: I like this name Jonah Cox actually picked them up in my 20 team lead where we have 25 prospects of 500 prospects picked them up as a speckies and the upper levels is in double that it's even AAA soon the giants are kind of trying to figure what they're going to do with their team.
31:51.968 --> 31:53.830
[SPEAKER_00]: They're sending down Ryan Walker.
31:53.910 --> 31:55.131
[SPEAKER_00]: They don't know what they're doing.
31:55.151 --> 31:56.212
[SPEAKER_00]: They call up Bryce Aldridge.
31:57.213 --> 31:59.836
[SPEAKER_00]: So they're trying things out, trying to mix it up.
32:01.017 --> 32:04.140
[SPEAKER_00]: So Jonah Cox may actually make it into the majors at the end of the year or something.
32:04.521 --> 32:07.944
[SPEAKER_00]: And so he could be in the conversation for 2027, maybe.
32:08.104 --> 32:08.444
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know.
32:09.365 --> 32:10.847
[SPEAKER_00]: But he's definitely producing right now.
32:10.887 --> 32:12.368
[SPEAKER_00]: So just a name I want to talk about.
32:12.388 --> 32:13.269
[SPEAKER_00]: Definitely under the radar.
32:13.289 --> 32:21.958
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm pretty sure not many outlets were talking about him.
32:22.242 --> 32:24.065
[SPEAKER_01]: I agree with you there.
32:24.285 --> 32:26.027
[SPEAKER_01]: I think that's a pretty good one.
32:26.588 --> 32:27.970
[SPEAKER_01]: Last name that I'm going to call out here.
32:28.010 --> 32:29.232
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm probably going to butcher it.
32:29.792 --> 32:32.036
[SPEAKER_01]: Ching Hassan co of the Dodgers.
32:32.136 --> 32:34.199
[SPEAKER_01]: I feel like this guy is popped up for a while.
32:34.900 --> 32:38.905
[SPEAKER_01]: He was a Robo scout pop like on the complex last year, wasn't he?
32:39.466 --> 32:40.928
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah.
32:40.948 --> 32:41.589
[SPEAKER_01]: And DSL, actually.
32:41.669 --> 32:43.291
[SPEAKER_01]: He was very smart.
32:43.451 --> 32:43.832
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
32:44.032 --> 32:47.517
[SPEAKER_01]: That's right that he did go to the DSL, which is obviously a little unusual.
32:47.577 --> 32:49.600
[SPEAKER_01]: Didn't necessarily anticipate that one.
32:50.002 --> 33:09.765
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, this is another name here that I think it's it's tough with some players like this because sometimes they pop on on a doubt and you're like, all right, is there really something here is it's going to continue to, you know, tick upward, you know, as he gets more experience and he wasn't great in his first sample of.
33:10.066 --> 33:15.478
[SPEAKER_01]: Low A last year, then Rancho, now Ontario, Dodgers move the affiliates in the Cal League.
33:16.159 --> 33:25.700
[SPEAKER_01]: Over 32 games last year, 219 35281, the plate skills were there, 16.7% walk right in only 23.2% strike out rate, which isn't terrible.
33:25.720 --> 33:29.408
[SPEAKER_01]: The strikeout rate is actually up this year and the walk rate is down.
33:29.388 --> 33:38.949
[SPEAKER_01]: But he's hitting for more impacts and thus his slash line is much better doing 284 398 568 over 22 games.
33:38.969 --> 33:40.632
[SPEAKER_01]: He's got six home runs so far.
33:41.855 --> 33:42.597
[SPEAKER_01]: What impressed me?
33:42.817 --> 33:43.940
[SPEAKER_01]: Works really deep in accounts.
33:44.120 --> 33:49.692
[SPEAKER_01]: High number of itch is really really low chase rate 9.9%
33:49.672 --> 34:04.273
[SPEAKER_01]: Chase rate, which is absurd a 105.89 mile per hour 90th percentile exit velocity in zone miss is a little bit higher 24% but I think that's okay when you chase a little.
34:05.374 --> 34:09.520
[SPEAKER_01]: That all of your whiffs are kind of coming in the zone you're swinging it strikes more frequently.
34:09.837 --> 34:12.681
[SPEAKER_01]: And thus have a better opportunity to actually do damage and hit those.
34:12.821 --> 34:14.363
[SPEAKER_01]: And thus far he has done that.
34:14.944 --> 34:15.845
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's an interesting one.
34:15.985 --> 34:16.986
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know where this goes.
34:17.467 --> 34:20.771
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm sure he's probably rostered in the deeper leagues.
34:21.312 --> 34:27.940
[SPEAKER_01]: So this is probably more of a call to maybe take a chance on him on like 300 to 200 prospects rostered.
34:28.321 --> 34:31.986
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's kind of jumping into that threshold a little bit a little frenzy.
34:32.246 --> 34:34.128
[SPEAKER_01]: It's just a matter of like what's it what's available.
34:34.148 --> 34:35.490
[SPEAKER_01]: What's out there.
34:35.470 --> 34:39.494
[SPEAKER_01]: But it is a guy with some power and really good swing decisions.
34:39.754 --> 34:44.078
[SPEAKER_01]: And that typically goes pretty good.
34:44.618 --> 34:47.101
[SPEAKER_01]: I think you see players like that more often than not.
34:48.622 --> 34:50.844
[SPEAKER_01]: They tend to get to the place that they're supposed to get to.
34:50.904 --> 35:02.575
[SPEAKER_01]: So just a matter of a little bit more contact, but he mitigates that sort of swinging Miss risk a ton because he never chases out of the zone.
35:03.500 --> 35:09.886
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, if you take that, that, that, that status saying of Z contact times ISO, um, he is at 0.22.
35:09.906 --> 35:13.050
[SPEAKER_00]: That's better than Amelia Morales, better than Ethan Holiday.
35:13.090 --> 35:14.511
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm just going up this list.
35:14.531 --> 35:22.099
[SPEAKER_00]: Jim, go better than Cooper Fleming, better than, better than take South Sea, better than Johnny level, better than, uh, you lie well.
35:22.139 --> 35:24.401
[SPEAKER_00]: It's better than your Robert area's Josiah Hartzorn.
35:24.421 --> 35:30.587
[SPEAKER_00]: So like, he, he's making, uh, he's actualizing that thump into production.
35:30.567 --> 35:33.311
[SPEAKER_00]: So his Z contact is not alarming at all.
35:33.792 --> 35:37.237
[SPEAKER_00]: In fact, it's totally completely manageable and totally fine.
35:37.277 --> 35:38.720
[SPEAKER_00]: So I really like that call, actually.
35:41.584 --> 35:41.864
[SPEAKER_01]: 100%.
35:41.925 --> 35:43.427
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I think that's a good one.
35:43.467 --> 35:47.072
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, Dylan, we've gone through all 10 names review those for you.
35:47.093 --> 35:56.507
[SPEAKER_01]: It is Robert Arias, Brandon Payne, Jeremy Cabrera, Aaron Walton, Anderson Dayless Santos, Jared Jones, Sean Keys, Eddie McEletti, Jr.
35:57.905 --> 36:05.654
[SPEAKER_01]: Jonah Cox and Ching Hassan Co, which I am hoping I said that correctly, once again, Dylan, we're getting you out of here.
36:05.714 --> 36:07.717
[SPEAKER_01]: Are there any final comments?
36:07.957 --> 36:19.190
[SPEAKER_01]: Any final words of wisdom to our loyal listenership and all those fancy minds that are out there saying, how can I play and win money like Dylan, don't we?
36:19.270 --> 36:20.672
[SPEAKER_01]: You got any advice?
36:21.091 --> 36:24.960
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think grinding and cheers.
36:25.742 --> 36:27.907
[SPEAKER_00]: That's all I really have as part of where's it was.
36:28.669 --> 36:31.736
[SPEAKER_01]: That is been the baseball America fantasy podcast.
36:31.796 --> 36:32.939
[SPEAKER_01]: Thank you for tuning in.
36:33.239 --> 36:33.600
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm Jeff.
36:33.640 --> 36:34.222
[SPEAKER_01]: He's Dylan.
36:34.703 --> 36:35.725
[SPEAKER_01]: We'll see you later.
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