[SPEAKER_01]: Welcome back to another baseball American fantasy podcast.

[SPEAKER_01]: This is your host Jeff Ponce alongside me as always is my co-host master of the Robo Scout that would be dealing white Dylan.

[SPEAKER_01]: How's it going man we just updated the top 500 lots of work in the Robo Scout post coming to so the work doesn't stop for you.

[SPEAKER_00]: Now it doesn't.

[SPEAKER_00]: This is always like the the tough part for the rankings because I mean James Anderson just did his top four prospects on the right of wire and he was talking about it on his podcast that it's like so much movement and you're with prospects but the same thing with Dynasty you don't want to over react to much on it's only been two months I know it's been

[SPEAKER_00]: You know, two months seems like a lot, but that's only one third of the season and so much can change and you wanna react appropriately, what's real, what's not all that, and it's very difficult.

[SPEAKER_00]: Well, it's very time consuming just to try to get it right.

[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, and I mean like on the on the coaching side in baseball or just player development side, the conversation is always real versus feel and sometimes feel is real right like there are things that that, you know,

[SPEAKER_01]: I feel like the first two months can lead to a great deal of overreactions.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's when the most people are plugged in, frankly, to just not just fantasy, but I think in general kind of baseball, and then that kind of ticks back up at the end of the season with playoff runs.

[SPEAKER_01]: With fantasy, it kind of dissipates, starting in June, and then as teams, you are eliminated in fantasy football kicks up, you know, it just kind of tapers down, so it's different

[SPEAKER_01]: But I do think it, it gives credence to a lot of, it's not bad takes, but I do think like overreactions.

[SPEAKER_01]: And like I'm guilty of this, like for sure, others are guilty of this.

[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I took some flack on Twitter this week about the Ronnie Cruz stuff.

[SPEAKER_01]: I will say, just in my defense, there are reasons behind Cruz, certainly the EVs, I'm always kind of a,

[SPEAKER_01]: a big proponent of speed and impact like those are the type of players that I tend to gravitate toward, particularly in fantasy, but also in real life.

[SPEAKER_01]: And the other part of the equation that was brought up to me by somebody else was, uh,

[SPEAKER_01]: his number since he was hit in the face with a pickoff throw.

[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if you remember that happened about three weeks ago.

[SPEAKER_01]: That's kind of coincides with his struggles at the plate sense.

[SPEAKER_01]: So I don't know if that's just a coincidence, or if there's maybe some smoke there or something to it.

[SPEAKER_01]: But that's to say, like I think we try to react to

[SPEAKER_01]: the good performances, the changes in skills, and that's prospects.

[SPEAKER_01]: That's major leagueers, just dynasty list, top 30 lists, whatever.

[SPEAKER_01]: But

[SPEAKER_01]: Nothing is really like a straight line typically, you know, there are some guys that you react to it and they just continue to climb right now in our apartment is certainly like an example of that some of that might be the run environments that he's playing in though I think we we really believe in the underlying skills, but there's just so many factors there's so much to factor in it's like when do you trust the underlying numbers at this guy is going to produce or when do you trust the underlying numbers at this guy who is producing.

[SPEAKER_01]: is going to stop.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's just, it's tough to sort of read that and balance all of it and figure it all out, but that's kind of the mystery and the art of doing these rankings.

[SPEAKER_01]: So with that said, Dylan, I figured we would maybe talk about some of the big movers and then maybe some followers towards the end.

[SPEAKER_01]: But some of the big movers, MLB players as well as prospects, a bunch of guys kind of made big jumps in this list.

[SPEAKER_01]: One that I think we can feel pretty confident in the ability and ranking him highly is Brewers, dare I say ace, Jacob, Missierowski.

[SPEAKER_01]: But we know that the stuff is there, I think the execution, not just this year, but progressively throughout his professional career.

[SPEAKER_01]: Just remember, this was a very raw Juco arm when he was first drafted.

[SPEAKER_01]: He's shown kind of leveling up ability year over year.

[SPEAKER_01]: And I always think that that's a sign of a really talented player.

[SPEAKER_01]: So you stumped to move him up.

[SPEAKER_01]: I certainly backed it.

[SPEAKER_01]: Might even have moved him a few spots higher than you had suggested.

[SPEAKER_01]: What are your thoughts on, on Miss Yorowski?

[SPEAKER_01]: And is he sort of in that rareified air of like fantasy true aces at this point?

[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he's definitely looked at that way by fantasy management in my league.

[SPEAKER_00]: And I think they're right.

[SPEAKER_00]: I was probably the lowest on Miss Yorowski, like definitely lower than you on him.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like what we had our conversations about Miss Yorowski versus Chase Birds versus Nola McLean.

[SPEAKER_00]: I think I had Miss Yorowski last.

[SPEAKER_01]: I was, everybody wins.

[SPEAKER_01]: Everybody wins in that one.

[SPEAKER_01]: With the, it was initially Burns versus Miss Yorowski.

[SPEAKER_01]: And I think like, I mean, I take Miss Yorowski, I think a lot of, I think the majority probably would, like, burns is right there dude.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's not like he's, uh, you know, he's chopped liver over there or something.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's just, like, I was worried about the command.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's also kind of fragile.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like, he would get out of like his legs would hurt and leave games early on like, I don't know.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like, I love the stuff, obviously, and the skills are there.

[SPEAKER_00]: I'm just like, I can't invest.

[SPEAKER_00]: The guy throw so hard too, like, it's just a matter of time in my head.

[SPEAKER_00]: of when he breaks, but like he's just been insane the last like the old basically all season, but like just the last month he's like leading and strike out percentage.

[SPEAKER_00]: His whip is the best.

[SPEAKER_00]: His all his ERA and peripherals are like the best of the league essentially of the Merry Christmas for Sanchez, who's hasn't given up a run in 44 ratings or whatever.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like the stuff plus, especially if you like consider that he's throwing so many innings,

[SPEAKER_00]: when you, when you kind of apply it, it's weight to it.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's like the best in the league as well.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like it's just it's ridiculous.

[SPEAKER_00]: So, um, I think the people who have Ms. Yorowski are right to, to, to rank them extremely high.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's in like the skins, school, before the injury, like conversation about like best asset pitching asset right now.

[SPEAKER_00]: Um,

[SPEAKER_00]: But, you know, as you know, pitching all those changes, you have a couple bad outings, you have a couple great outings, and suddenly, you know, Yamamoto's a bit lower, or a Logan Gilbert's a bit lower, and Camchletler is a bit higher.

[SPEAKER_00]: So, it is volatile, but Miss Yorowski's basically did the best picture, a dynasty picture in 2020, six right now.

[SPEAKER_01]: And let's stay right here with the Brewers conversation.

[SPEAKER_01]: Everybody's never one prospects.

[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe there's some folks that have, like, Frank Bonaria's out there at number one right now.

[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know, but I would think it's Hazoo's Monday.

[SPEAKER_01]: Monday is obviously just been incredibly impressive at a very young age.

[SPEAKER_01]: know, this is a point that we make internally, I think it's one that Josh Norris has made a few times in JJ as well.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's very rare that an organization has a player that they sign in the international market.

[SPEAKER_01]: That moves as quickly and is as good as early as Jackson Churio was.

[SPEAKER_01]: But it looks like the brewers have kind of struck, you know, lightning has kind of struck twice here with Hizu's Monday.

[SPEAKER_01]: You know, just turn 19 at the beginning of the month.

[SPEAKER_01]: We're recording this on the 30th.

[SPEAKER_01]: This will drop on the 1st of June, but we are recording this on the 30th of May.

[SPEAKER_01]: So at the beginning, you know, it's been less than a month that he's been 19 years old.

[SPEAKER_01]: Over 43 double A games, he's hit 271 354 42 11.2% walk rate with a 15.5% strikeout rate.

[SPEAKER_01]: That strikeout rate is.

[SPEAKER_01]: Improved by 20% year over year didn't have a high strikeout right last year, but during his little sample and it was only a five game sample, but his little sampling and double a last year of strikeout rate was much higher than that.

[SPEAKER_01]: He's also matched his home run total from last year.

[SPEAKER_01]: He's still stealing bases.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think this is kind of like.

[SPEAKER_01]: You know, we talk about players and how their value could differ from format to format.

[SPEAKER_01]: Your OBP league versus your average league, your points league versus your roto league.

[SPEAKER_01]: This guy's kind of like bulletproof when it comes to formats, because he runs, he gets on base.

[SPEAKER_01]: He doesn't strike out a lot.

[SPEAKER_01]: He hits for power, switch hitters.

[SPEAKER_01]: So he's a guy that you're not gonna really gonna have to worry about him.

[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe having some platoon splits that happens with switch hitters for sure.

[SPEAKER_01]: But a guy that's equipped to be, you know, right handed bat in the line up against left these left handed bat against righties, et cetera, that sort of platoon conversation isn't going to come into play for him.

[SPEAKER_01]: So he's going to see a lot of the bats who's going to drive some of those counting stats, et cetera.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think you'd like to see the ground ball rate.

[SPEAKER_01]: You know, drop a little bit by maybe five to six percent and see those turn into line drives and home runs like to see them elevate a little bit more.

[SPEAKER_01]: Some of that is just the nature of kind of having two swings, but I think when you look at the contact you look at the underlying power, the speed, the twitch, the ability, the body, all that sort of stuff, there's still projection here.

[SPEAKER_01]: and how young he is and performing above a league average level in AA.

[SPEAKER_01]: And, by the way, putting together a very solid slash line in the southern league, which is the hardest AA league to hit in, just based on the run environments, et cetera.

[SPEAKER_01]: That's all been a little flookie this year.

[SPEAKER_01]: We don't know if there's something going on on the baseballs or run environments or all messed up, but typically it's not the easiest place to hit.

[SPEAKER_01]: For me, and I know this has been very long-winded dealing to spend like six minutes on hate this Monday, but for good reason.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think this is the top overall prospect.

[SPEAKER_01]: There's a reason for it.

[SPEAKER_01]: He's got age, production, underlying data, the projection side of things.

[SPEAKER_01]: He kind of has all of that in spades.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's one of the reasons that he's ranked inside of the top 30.

[SPEAKER_01]: I dropped the rankings for prospects in here.

[SPEAKER_01]: I just think when you look at value as some of the guys around them, they're pretty easy one to one swaps with a player that's this good this young, especially if you're rebuilding and kind of looking down the road, you're willing to take on the risk of the development, runway, etc.

[SPEAKER_01]: But yeah, my day is super exciting and be excited to see where this one goes.

[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I like that point you made about have a regardless of format he's solid like he's going to be good in batting average leads going to be good on base percentage leagues he has the speed for road O leagues he's got the power so it's not just a like power with no speed type of thing he's going to play every day.

[SPEAKER_00]: And yeah, it's just he's doing excellently.

[SPEAKER_00]: So he, you know, he said he has a 109 WRC Plus in AA as a 19 year old like Ryan yelled Rodriguez is also 19 is struggling he has a 38 WRC plus 57 plate appearances.

[SPEAKER_00]: So it takes some time to adjust and my day is doing it at the young age.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's got a mod A is a better diversity plus than Leo to Vri as well, who's 19 in AA.

[SPEAKER_00]: And he's got the better stack ass data than to Vri's got better contact, better inzone contact, better exevalosities, doesn't chase as much.

[SPEAKER_00]: The barrel rates are not as good, but they're basically the same to help our senators as 40% type of thing.

[SPEAKER_00]: Um, so yeah, I think it's kind of like the clear class, um, so great color.

[SPEAKER_01]: Well, let's jump back over to the major leagues and stay with pictures here and guys that kind of broke out with huge stuff last year.

[SPEAKER_01]: And I've taken into another level this year.

[SPEAKER_01]: That's Yankees ace, dare I say ace?

[SPEAKER_01]: Even though Garrett Cole's back, Camich-Littler, just as kindness set the world on fire at this point, of course, you know, one of the most talented pictures in all the baseball.

[SPEAKER_01]: He was up to 35 in the rankings.

[SPEAKER_01]: spot jump from his April ranking of 70 and I think that's with a bullet like there's some pictures above them Christopher Sanchez is here, Logan Gilbert is here, you know, I could see potentially him.

[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe Sanchez jumps Gilbert, and I think probably we should, and you know, it would be surprising if Schlittler doesn't.

[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if he's jumping Sanchez just yet, but I think you can make the case for it.

[SPEAKER_01]: So what do we like about Schlittler and you know, how high is the ceiling?

[SPEAKER_00]: Well, he has a 1.5 ERA on the season and seven wins.

[SPEAKER_00]: So that's a 20 win pace.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's on the Yankees.

[SPEAKER_00]: So it's not ridiculous for that to be sustained.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's not like Aaron Ashby with nine wins or whatever it is as a middle reliever for the breweries.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's one of the classes of the American League in the firmly in the rotation, that's not your own.

[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, the stuff has been great.

[SPEAKER_00]: We talked about it a couple weeks ago where

[SPEAKER_00]: He had taken such a huge step forward last year and the stuff just adding velocity and the movement was better than the canics for cleaner.

[SPEAKER_00]: There was like a tweet, maybe a month ago, that showed him like, coming out of the draft, this is what his mechanics look like and then compared to what they are now, it's just like,

[SPEAKER_00]: you just as a completely different player.

[SPEAKER_00]: So the projections, the point of this is that the projections taking into account the whole kind of body of work in the line of leagues.

[SPEAKER_00]: And so you use coming in as like 11th round 12th round pick as as the

[SPEAKER_00]: draft champion season the the first drafts were happening during the playoffs.

[SPEAKER_00]: I remember being in a draft and Schlittler had that big playoff game where he struck out 11 or whatever it was and he got picked like immediately in the draft.

[SPEAKER_00]: I was out.

[SPEAKER_00]: It would happen to be in the 12th round of 33rd round or whatever it was.

[SPEAKER_00]: And people were like, oh, no, that's crazy.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like, look at his projections.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's not like, you're going for the small sample size.

[SPEAKER_00]: But if you knew the underlying data that he had in 2025, you would know that he's a completely different picture.

[SPEAKER_00]: And the stuff was just ridiculous.

[SPEAKER_00]: So it was kind of a miss to be kind of conservative on our rankings.

[SPEAKER_00]: And so I think now we're kind of getting more in line, obviously, to do what he's doing over 72 ratings.

[SPEAKER_00]: Um, and he's just dominating.

[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think he's had a really a bad outing yet.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's had maybe one that was below average, but he's just been consistently good.

[SPEAKER_00]: So, uh, you were talking about being long-winded with my day.

[SPEAKER_00]: I think I'm being long-winded with.

[SPEAKER_01]: No, not that long window, it was pretty good.

[SPEAKER_01]: Well, we're going to stay on the sounds here.

[SPEAKER_01]: And let's talk a little bit about the ageless wander that is Kyle Schworber.

[SPEAKER_01]: Not age, I mean, only 33, he's not that old.

[SPEAKER_01]: I'm old.

[SPEAKER_01]: But...

[SPEAKER_01]: We were talking off air, and I kind of made the point, I think that this style of player age is very well.

[SPEAKER_01]: Kind of that elite power hitter doesn't really have to worry it doesn't worry about playing defense.

[SPEAKER_01]: The skills with age typically continue to tick up.

[SPEAKER_01]: He's not losing any bad speed right now.

[SPEAKER_01]: Probably has a little bit of grace to lose, but I think if you look over the next three years, which is kind of how we project this.

[SPEAKER_01]: Expecting 90 to like 110 runs on age 34 35 36 in terms of total numbers, I don't think it's crazy with this guy, especially if he's in failure long term and hitting in that great ballpark and you know, they're going to keep on putting bats around him.

[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, there's no reason to think that he's going to slow down.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think there's I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that over the next three or four years this guy could kind of slug his way into a very legitimate hall of fame, uh, contention kind of compensation.

[SPEAKER_01]: And we've seen it with guys before that, you know, have this sort of power, uh, and it carries into their mid to to late 30s.

[SPEAKER_01]: So not often

[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, it's like the David Ortiz career path, right?

[SPEAKER_00]: It's like your DH, you kind of clog up the utility slot.

[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe for roster construction, it's not the greatest.

[SPEAKER_00]: He doesn't have the greatest batting average, maybe.

[SPEAKER_00]: But like because he's DH full time, like you're done, it's just like he's not going to get injured.

[SPEAKER_00]: Well,

[SPEAKER_00]: maybe not like you're done.

[SPEAKER_00]: He, the, the wear and Jared is body is much less.

[SPEAKER_00]: So he's going to be able to like slow that aging curves slightly.

[SPEAKER_00]: I was watching MLB network a couple days ago and it was Google's was was the guy commentating and they're asking him what if he had any regrets, what would he tell 21 year old.

[SPEAKER_00]: Albert Puhulls in 2001, no like what he knows now, and Puhull said, I would take days off.

[SPEAKER_00]: He said, the wear and tear is just so hard.

[SPEAKER_00]: And that's what Schworberg by being at full-time DH gets to, uh, gets to half.

[SPEAKER_00]: Um, so yeah, he's, if you look at like zips three year projections on, on fan, on fan graphs.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's like 40 home runs, and then 35 home runs, he's still 30 home run button three years.

[SPEAKER_00]: Um, I actually think that's,

[SPEAKER_00]: That's conservative, because I think that's like preseason zips before Schwerber hit 20 home runs in the first third of the season.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I think that number even goes up.

[SPEAKER_00]: And like he said, it's like this kind of slug and he doesn't chase really.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like he takes it lead average.

[SPEAKER_00]: He swings his own lead average.

[SPEAKER_00]: He takes his walks.

[SPEAKER_00]: The bad speed is just still great.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's this is the type of thing that I'll just be, you know, 30 to 40 home runs for the next three years with a good on base percentage.

[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, no, I agree.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think that's what separates him.

[SPEAKER_01]: And I like your David Ortiz was on my tongue, but Ortiz, of course, got up for PEP.

[SPEAKER_01]: So I'm always a little weary with those, like, chase to say that or not.

[SPEAKER_01]: All right, let's move on to the next guy.

[SPEAKER_01]: Somebody who we've talked about quite a bit at this point on this show, I think just generally in the fantasy baseball realm has been talked a lot.

[SPEAKER_01]: We have them now as our number three prospect.

[SPEAKER_01]: on our dynasty list.

[SPEAKER_01]: That is Red Sox, Frank Monarius.

[SPEAKER_01]: He moves up 165 spots in the overall dynasty rankings.

[SPEAKER_01]: Decent amount of spots, but not that high.

[SPEAKER_01]: We did have him as a top 25 or prospect in the last update.

[SPEAKER_01]: Of course, the powers continued to tick up.

[SPEAKER_01]: He has plate skills to kind of sacrifice, which I mean, he has lost a little bit of contact, but he had so much contact that he still has a plus contact rate.

[SPEAKER_01]: While trading some of that, it's been a good trade-off, he's a good defense of shortstop.

[SPEAKER_01]: Not gonna run it, ton, I think that's probably what the knock is on the profile versus maybe some of these other guys.

[SPEAKER_01]: But a really talented prospect in his own right, I know one that, the model and the Robo Scout has been pretty high on for a while.

[SPEAKER_01]: So let me a little bit about Frank and Ari's.

[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, everything you said, he's just crush and double a on Robo scout, like the gap between him and number two, which is Ethan Salus, who himself was projected at peak to be one 12 WRC plus with 25 home runs and 15 zone bases, is just so huge that gap between Ari and Salus.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's kind of like

[SPEAKER_00]: Areas is the like a McGonagall of like great hit tool and has probably more power than you think, but not going to run compared to Griffin conversation like so my day is the Griffin in this analogy, this kind of tortured analogy, so like if you want well rounded five categories, it's as you smile day if you want.

[SPEAKER_00]: like the the hit tool with with power but not as much speed, but probably better hit tool slightly and probably maybe more power of the RIS.

[SPEAKER_00]: They both kind of play shortstop both pretty good defensively, so it's like I kind of like that idea.

[SPEAKER_00]: So if you can kind of put your mind your head in the mindset of like do I prefer McGonagall or Griffin

[SPEAKER_00]: generally like that type of profile is that the type of profile I like, um, you know, that's a kind of a good analogy.

[SPEAKER_00]: I think, I guess, Arias is 20 years old basically like one year older than Maude AA on the brain plays good defense, like it's, uh, Trevor's story I think is in his last year.

[SPEAKER_00]: Is that right with the Red Sox, so like it's just a matter of time.

[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to be as one more year, um, just a matter of time before Arias is playing in Boston.

[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I think you're right.

[SPEAKER_01]: Um,

[SPEAKER_01]: And it could even be by the end of the year.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's got to get up to AAA and it was probably going to get a decent runway there in terms of a few months in AAA, but that could happen within the next few weeks, honestly, it wouldn't shot me.

[SPEAKER_01]: Now I'm hoping it's this week.

[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to see some games of Worcester, maybe they bump them up for me.

[SPEAKER_01]: If you're listening to Red Sox, you got 24 hours to make this happen.

[SPEAKER_01]: Let's do it.

[SPEAKER_01]: While we wait for the Red Sox answer on the call of our frankenaries, why don't we take a quick break here from our sponsors and when we come back, we got more players to talk about.

[SPEAKER_01]: All right, and we are back.

[SPEAKER_01]: We are talking top 500.

[SPEAKER_01]: Dynasty update.

[SPEAKER_01]: We also put a top 400 prospect ranking update.

[SPEAKER_01]: Both of those will be updated in a month as well.

[SPEAKER_01]: And then again at the end of July, and then at least to the prospect side, it might be even shortly thereafter in July, once all of the drafts have signed, just to get that first FYPD out and get those guys.

[SPEAKER_01]: kind of worked in.

[SPEAKER_01]: So lots to look out for.

[SPEAKER_01]: We've already talked about Ms. Jacob, Ms. Erowski, we've talked about Hazus my day, we've talked about Cambridge Slitler, we've talked about Kyle Schworber, we've talked about Frank Monarius, we've got him the five pack for you to go through here.

[SPEAKER_01]: Let's talk about another prospect slash MLB player, so it's kind of one of that hybrid, they're kind of like funky online, AJ Ewing,

[SPEAKER_01]: really great showing obviously this year in the minor leagues.

[SPEAKER_01]: He's gotten up to the big leagues and is getting pretty regular at bats.

[SPEAKER_01]: Have you been impressed thus far with AJ Ewing?

[SPEAKER_01]: And we moved him up quite a bit.

[SPEAKER_01]: So, how are you viewing him right now?

[SPEAKER_01]: If you're a rebuilding team?

[SPEAKER_00]: So, in Devil's Rejects, which is 20 team OBP, we had AJ Ewing.

[SPEAKER_00]: And South Stewart, and we packaged the two of them for Julio Rodriguez, and we agonized over that, we wanted to have the

[SPEAKER_00]: You've topped 20 Dynasty asset in New Orleans, 30, 30 guy, still young, done it for a while, sell Stuart being incredible, but you know, it's small sample.

[SPEAKER_00]: And then AJ Ewing, being the sweetener in that, is just like, ah, it's so hard.

[SPEAKER_00]: So we eventually did it.

[SPEAKER_00]: It was not a sell high, like we love Ewing's sort of on base ability, he's

[SPEAKER_00]: He's playing basically every day, he's like, set her feel, he's like hitting 6th and line up.

[SPEAKER_00]: He has a WRC plus of 112, just calling it up right now.

[SPEAKER_00]: You're kind of projected to be kind of like a 15 home run guy with 25 sole bases, and that's very valuable.

[SPEAKER_00]: It is very young, I'll write East 21.

[SPEAKER_00]: So,

[SPEAKER_00]: Like Stephen Cuan, maybe this is not a the best analogy, but so good hit tool playing solid defense, maybe not the most power 15 home runs 12 to 15 home runs, but steals bases like that is a very valuable player.

[SPEAKER_00]: And Stephen Kwan was like 25, 26 at the time, you know, he's 21.

[SPEAKER_00]: So you're getting like four years of Kwan before even getting this Stephen Kwan.

[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know if you're following my, but you're in a thought.

[SPEAKER_00]: But Kwan used to be a pretty valuable player.

[SPEAKER_00]: And he was much older than you and during that time, he was a very valuable player.

[SPEAKER_00]: So as much as Kwan was valuable, you know, he's more valuable.

[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's what I'm trying to get at.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I think, you know, there's no real holes in the game except other than power and even that.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's not even that bad.

[SPEAKER_00]: And he could grow into more power.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I do like, you know, a lot.

[SPEAKER_00]: He reminds me kind of, he's like a same entonacci.

[SPEAKER_00]: They're kind of very similar players too.

[SPEAKER_00]: They're, you know, both like outfield.

[SPEAKER_00]: They don't have the most power, but they've been contact.

[SPEAKER_00]: And they, you know, I'm still 25 to 35 basis, like you wings the younger.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I like, I like where we put you in.

[SPEAKER_00]: I guess is what I'm trying to say.

[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, 100% I think he was the easy move up guy and somebody that's moved up and I think like the last five lists we've made dating back to like last.

[SPEAKER_01]: Always always moving them up can't catch up to the ascending talent that is the met's.

[SPEAKER_01]: I'll feel prospect.

[SPEAKER_01]: All right, let's move on to another NL, excuse me, almost at AL East.

[SPEAKER_01]: NL, NL, East, outfielder, and that would be Michael Harris.

[SPEAKER_01]: He's a guy that's kind of been out in the valley for a little bit.

[SPEAKER_01]: Big boom when he first came into the big leagues.

[SPEAKER_01]: Kind of had some peaks and valleys, as I mentioned, seems like he's ascending as well.

[SPEAKER_01]: Again, he's somebody that moved up in our list.

[SPEAKER_01]: What are you liking about Michael Harris in 2026?

[SPEAKER_00]: I loved Michael Harris for the last bunch of years and even last year, I was starting to to wane and I think a lot of fantasy managers did.

[SPEAKER_00]: He was just, he was not, he was starting up against lefty, he was just the batting average, he was always projected to be like 275 plus and he was never quite hitting it from my recollection I'm not looking at right now.

[SPEAKER_00]: But I ended up with Michael Harris on all my D.C.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's my 100% owned player just because I think people had soured so much and then the value was still there going to the projections and so I would end up having him and and he is I'm reaping the rewards for taking that that having that faith in him.

[SPEAKER_00]: His

[SPEAKER_00]: like peak projections have increased before the season.

[SPEAKER_00]: He was a 2020 guy with like a 280 five batting average and now he's a 288 batting average with even more home runs.

[SPEAKER_00]: 26 home runs in 20 stolen bases.

[SPEAKER_00]: So he's boosted his performance.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's still pretty young.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to play every day.

[SPEAKER_00]: He gets lowered in the batting average in the batting order against

[SPEAKER_00]: You know, he basically is hitting second to day on on Saturday.

[SPEAKER_00]: So, yeah, just an everyday player plays good defense and power speed and burning average.

[SPEAKER_00]: Basically, the Hizzle's Monday of the the O field for Atlanta.

[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it's it's just good to see the sort of the development.

[SPEAKER_01]: And I think part of that is just how skills and approach and some of that stuff can develop over time.

[SPEAKER_01]: So kind of a good point to be patient here.

[SPEAKER_01]: We're talking about Michael Harris another player that.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think it was really hard to be patient with for a long time.

[SPEAKER_01]: Was one of the most highly touted prospects.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think the first year that I started ranking prospects.

[SPEAKER_01]: So that shows you how long ago it'd been.

[SPEAKER_01]: But that's Byron, Boxing.

[SPEAKER_01]: It was him versus Cory Seeger was the argument.

[SPEAKER_01]: And I think he's finally overtaken Seeger in terms of fantasy value.

[SPEAKER_01]: Boxing is potentially having a career year, we moved him up.

[SPEAKER_01]: What are your feelings right now, in Boxing?

[SPEAKER_01]: Is this a sell high?

[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know.

[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, coming into like last year's kind of a career, right?

[SPEAKER_00]: He got 542 plate appearances in 2025, which was his career high.

[SPEAKER_00]: And he had 35 homeruns and 24 stolen bases.

[SPEAKER_00]: So he was a 35 25 guy, hit 260.

[SPEAKER_00]: And this is what I had been drafting.

[SPEAKER_00]: For the last four years, he always projects well, he never plays the full season, you know, obviously it's the ongoing joke of when Spucks and going to be injured.

[SPEAKER_00]: And he finally put it together at age 31 last year.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I might have sold high then.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like if you asked me what's the what's the rational play for Byron Bucks and coming into 2020 six is probably sell high because he had a career year.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's in his 30s, like if people are, I think he's, you know, he's finally reaching that talent that an potential then ceiling that he had.

[SPEAKER_00]: Now's the time you can unload him to those players.

[SPEAKER_00]: Those people, but he's, like you said, he's having a career now even more than last year.

[SPEAKER_00]: He has a 141 WRC plus which is higher than last year's 136.

[SPEAKER_00]: He has 17 home runs already.

[SPEAKER_00]: That's one third of the season.

[SPEAKER_00]: That's half of what he got.

[SPEAKER_00]: last year.

[SPEAKER_00]: That's a pace for the 51 home runs at this current pace.

[SPEAKER_00]: He already has two war.

[SPEAKER_00]: One third of the seasons of six war pay.

[SPEAKER_00]: So like he is having a career.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's not running as much.

[SPEAKER_00]: He only has four stolen bases like I said he had 24 last year.

[SPEAKER_00]: So he's on pace for like 12.

[SPEAKER_00]: I kind of don't want him to run that much.

[SPEAKER_00]: I think 12's a good number.

[SPEAKER_00]: That's where he usually gets injured.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's his lower legs, lower body.

[SPEAKER_00]: So what I sell high, no, I think.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's tough.

[SPEAKER_00]: We were offered Byron, Buckston, and Yamamoto for Tatees, and I can't remember the picture, the picture is reasonable.

[SPEAKER_00]: And it's like, it's the 80, the years we're selling on Tatees for Buckston, and I just couldn't pull the trigger, but I think rationally for this year, it's probably the right move.

[SPEAKER_00]: Dynastine, maybe not, but yeah, I guess my point is I think, I think, you know, buckson's going to be a 35 hormone guy.

[SPEAKER_00]: And like we said with with Schworber, like this type of, with the bat speed is still up.

[SPEAKER_00]: This type of thing is going to still age as long as he stays healthy.

[SPEAKER_00]: And I think that's the key.

[SPEAKER_00]: He still plays good defense.

[SPEAKER_00]: In center field, so like they're not going to take him out and make him a d h, a full time d h yet, but I wonder, you know, when that happens, he will probably gain, like just a extent is career and other two to three years and I think that's good for fantasy.

[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe it's a good time to buy a maybe maybe kind of scare your league mates by saying, you know, he's 32 is never gone over 550 plate appearances, how long.

[SPEAKER_00]: keep it up just a matter of time and then maybe you know you get three to four years of of solid 30-home run value.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I think I talk myself around from maybe sell high to maybe not.

[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe this is kind of who he is for the least the next three years, three to four years.

[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I'll tell me to mental acrobatics in real time there.

[SPEAKER_01]: No, I think, you know, he's obviously one of the most exciting players in fantasy and you know, there's a reason that we held on hope for so long a player that's also been very exciting, but unfortunately is taking his first trip to the injured list.

[SPEAKER_01]: That's men at Tonka, more calming when we initially rank more calming.

[SPEAKER_01]: He had not gotten injured yet, it happened immediately after he was obviously always ranking, but somebody that's continued to move up, update, update, and we were fairly high on him coming into the year because I ended up with lots and lots of more calming across a bunch of different teams.

[SPEAKER_01]: So what are your thoughts on more calming, despite, you know, the injury and

[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I mean, if you look at the stat cast, all the power stuff is bright red, 98th percentile average x of velocity, 98th percentile barrel rate, 99th percentile heart hit rate.

[SPEAKER_00]: 98%ile walk rate, too.

[SPEAKER_00]: So an on-base leak, he's very good, and that's because it is 89%ile chase rate.

[SPEAKER_00]: So he's kind of a Schworber, you Schworber asks, right?

[SPEAKER_00]: He's got the bat speed, which is 87%ile.

[SPEAKER_00]: He does swing and miss, but he doesn't really chase.

[SPEAKER_00]: So he'll be great and on-base percentage leagues.

[SPEAKER_00]: He has 20 home runs or 18 home runs now.

[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's third in the league, basically just behind Shorber.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's basically a 26-year-old swarber.

[SPEAKER_00]: And I think it's some matter of time before he's a DH as well, because he's playing first base right now.

[SPEAKER_00]: The range isn't that great.

[SPEAKER_00]: And it might do themselves well to put more comedy as the DH.

[SPEAKER_00]: The whitesauts have a lot of exciting and fielders.

[SPEAKER_00]: Miguel Vargas, Colson Montgomery, Caleb Bonamer coming, Rock Chilesky, if they take him for a stover all.

[SPEAKER_00]: They just called up Jacob Gonzalez.

[SPEAKER_00]: I talked about Sam Antonacci already.

[SPEAKER_00]: There's always Chase Mydrauth.

[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, they have some good young talent coming up.

[SPEAKER_00]: And that's just really the infield I was talking about there.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I think, you know, it's just a matter of time before Markami is a DH and then he may be on the Schworbert track.

[SPEAKER_00]: And he's young enough to do it and he's you started to put together the track record now in the major leagues.

[SPEAKER_00]: This isn't just one month of the excellent performance.

[SPEAKER_00]: This is now two months of performance.

[SPEAKER_00]: Um, so yeah, very exciting.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's a, it's a, it's a bummer.

[SPEAKER_00]: He's has the hamstring injury.

[SPEAKER_00]: They say, you know, four to six weeks or two to two to four weeks.

[SPEAKER_00]: Either way, a month is going to be missed.

[SPEAKER_00]: But, you know, I don't think you're going to change his, his dynasty value that much because of that.

[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, um, agree.

[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think there's much is going to change here.

[SPEAKER_01]: Now for the last name that we're going to throw out there.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's Max Clark.

[SPEAKER_01]: Max Clark moved down quite a bit.

[SPEAKER_01]: And Dylan, I don't know about yourself.

[SPEAKER_01]: I am a little bit concerned right now with Clark and sort of where this is going.

[SPEAKER_01]: He moves down to 19 now in our fantasy ranks.

[SPEAKER_01]: Our fantasy prospect ranks, excuse me, was within the top 10 before,

[SPEAKER_01]: And when I'm looking at the players ahead of him there, guys that are producing more at the same level that are the same age or younger players that have already produced at the same age or younger at the triple A level and are now in the big leagues or at some of the most high upside prospects in the lower levels.

[SPEAKER_01]: And there's only a handful of those guys that we're talking about here.

[SPEAKER_01]: Overall, in the season, it's 268, 345, 387.

[SPEAKER_01]: He's really not hitting for the impact that I hope he would hit for.

[SPEAKER_01]: Never thought this was like a 30 home run guy, but I thought it was more like 15 to 20 with a lot of doubles and kind of getting his slug that way, which is obviously valuable and a variety of formats.

[SPEAKER_01]: Still not striking out a lot.

[SPEAKER_01]: Still walking at sort of an average clip there in AAA.

[SPEAKER_01]: Still running a little bit.

[SPEAKER_01]: That's why he's a top night 20 prospect.

[SPEAKER_01]: We're not thing he's not a good player, but I think like the idea that this guy could turn into you know, sort of that dynamic lead off hitter that could get you 15 to 20 home runs with a high batting average with like 100 plus runs and 25 plus deals and kind of all the numbers that come with that.

[SPEAKER_01]: I'm starting to worry about that a little bit, you know, the barrel rate is only even 3% this year.

[SPEAKER_01]: That's kind of a concern.

[SPEAKER_01]: I feel like a lot of his hearted hit balls are really on the ground.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's a higher ground ball rate.

[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think it's terrible, 45.9%.

[SPEAKER_01]: We want to see that come down maybe a little bit.

[SPEAKER_01]: But at least like kind of sustainable batting average kind of levels.

[SPEAKER_01]: The heart hit rate is kind of okay at 36% but not great.

[SPEAKER_01]: But once again, the issue is, you know, he'll hit the ball hard, but it's hard ground balls.

[SPEAKER_01]: He needs to kind of optimize that swing.

[SPEAKER_01]: That's been something that's been said for a while with Clark.

[SPEAKER_01]: I think it's just kind of coming more to a head.

[SPEAKER_01]: And I worry that there could be some adjustments here and some struggles.

[SPEAKER_01]: And for that, I'm moving in behind some other guys I just think of higher upside.

[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if you have any thoughts on Clark here before we wrap the show up.

[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, it's been a disappointing season.

[SPEAKER_00]: It's a 99 WRC plus his peak projections have dropped pretty significantly too because of that poor performance.

[SPEAKER_00]: He was like a 20 home run bat with like a 123 WRC plus a peak and now it's dropped to like 16 home runs and then a 110 WRC plus

[SPEAKER_00]: It's an interesting conversation.

[SPEAKER_00]: Thought experiment.

[SPEAKER_00]: I was talking about this front slack with regards to young prospects.

[SPEAKER_00]: Young for the level prospects at AAA.

[SPEAKER_00]: Like Max Clarke was 21, like Nelson Rada who would have very good peak projections because he's so young at the at the level that if you think about it, if you're 21 in triple layer on the on the the verge of being in the major so you'll just say you'll be 22 in the major leaks and if you're peak, which is basically age 2627 is a 110 WRC plus with 16 homeruns.

[SPEAKER_00]: You're going to have some bad early seasons.

[SPEAKER_00]: If you're going to be, it's going to take you five years to get to that peak.

[SPEAKER_00]: You're going to be in the majors probably struggling.

[SPEAKER_00]: If you have them in a dynasty league, you're going to it's going to be like the Miguel Vargas conversation from a few years ago where like this guy is he's lost his prospect eligibility and in the formats I play in.

[SPEAKER_00]: and so he's taken up a bench spot and bench spots are very, very scarce.

[SPEAKER_00]: And we see this with pictures, too, where like a picture, like Andrew painter, you have to roster Andrew painter and he's not doing well, but you don't want to drop him, but he's taking up a bench spot.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I guess what I'm going to say is if you have these really young guys on the verge of the majors, but who aren't showing

[SPEAKER_00]: You're going to have probably a very tough decision on your hands because if they struggle for the first couple of years you're going to have to decide what you're going to do with this guy and the way Joe and Dell finally showed the power projection years later or Jordan Walker a few years later it's it's tough like he's those guys are are the ones that are dropped so I guess what I'm trying to say is I can easily see scenarios where max Clark is dropped.

[SPEAKER_00]: in the next two or three years in dynasty leagues, and then becomes a very good productive player, like years four through nine from then on.

[SPEAKER_00]: So I think I'm just kind of babbling about the dynasty dynamics and that if you're very young in the upper levels, yes, you're going to have a productive major league career.

[SPEAKER_00]: You may have a very fraught dynasty, fantasy dynasty career.

[SPEAKER_00]: because if you're not producing in the early rounds or early going, you're going to possibly be on the fringe of being dropped.

[SPEAKER_00]: So it's kind of an interesting, interesting conundrum where you want to be young and, you know, for levels because those of where the stars are, but you may have a tough go of it in the major leagues if you're, if you're not quite super star material.

[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I think that's 100% accurate, great way to put it.

[SPEAKER_01]: And a great way to wrap up the show.

[SPEAKER_01]: Thank you, everybody, for tuning in.

[SPEAKER_01]: Thank you for subscribing and reading all of our fantasy content.

[SPEAKER_01]: We strive to get better with every list.

[SPEAKER_01]: And we certainly appreciate your feedback.

[SPEAKER_01]: Even if you disagree with the ranking, that kind of helps us, and sometimes maybe.

[SPEAKER_01]: puts things into a sharper focus.

[SPEAKER_01]: Like, you know, I want to say that we're perfect with all this, but it's hard to do that.

[SPEAKER_01]: Especially with baseball, man.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's a fickle interest, Mr. Smith.

[SPEAKER_01]: But thank you for tuning in.

[SPEAKER_01]: It's been the baseball, America Fantasy podcast.

[SPEAKER_01]: Ford, Jeff Ford, Dylan.

[SPEAKER_01]: Have a great week.