WMAL Interview - AU Professor ALLAN LICHTMAN - 09.28.16

INTERVIEW – PROFESSOR ALLAN LICHTMAN – Distinguished Professor of History: American University – shared his thoughts on the election how he predicted Trump winning this year’s election.

2016 election puts AU prof’s presidential prediction model to the test. WASHINGTON — The American University professor who has correctly predicted every election since 1984 is hedging his bets on 2016. Allan Lichtman, a history professor at AU, told WTOP on Monday that presidential elections, for all the pundit-fueled dissection of polls, momentum and narrative, are “primarily referenda on the performance of the party holding the White House.” He developed his 13-point system in 1981 for predicting the popular vote based on the results and analysis of presidential elections from 1860 to 1980. He started making his predictions in 1984.