The Rate Update —Mortgage Rates About To Spike? Here's What's Coming

Season 2025 Episode 317  ·  May 05, 01:33 PM
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Mortgage rates are under pressure again — and this time the trigger is bigger than just the Fed.

In today’s video, I break down why the mortgage market just got dangerous, how rising oil prices, Iran / Strait of Hormuz tensions, inflation fears, the 10-Year Treasury, and mortgage-backed securities are all working together to push rates higher.

If you’re buying a home, refinancing, or trying to decide whether to lock or float, this is the kind of market you need to understand before making a move.

Today we cover:

• Why mortgage rates are moving higher
• What the MBS / mortgage bond chart is telling us
• How oil prices impact inflation and mortgage rates
• Why Iran and the Strait of Hormuz matter to U.S. homebuyers
• What the 10-Year Treasury is signaling
• Why strong corporate earnings may not automatically help rates
• Whether today’s market favors locking or floating
• What homeowners and buyers should watch next

The big takeaway: mortgage rates do not move just because of the Fed. They move because of the bond market — and right now the bond market is watching oil, inflation, war risk, economic data, and Treasury yields.

If you are closing soon, this is not a lazy float market. If you are shopping for a home or considering a refinance, make sure you understand the numbers before you make a decision.

🔗 NEXT STEPS

🏠 Ready to Buy or Refinance? Get Pre-Approved  
https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register

📅 Want to Talk Through Your Options? Schedule a Consultation  
https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05

✉️ Have Questions? Contact / Ask Dan  
https://www.therateupdate.com/contact

TOP RESOURCES
📉 Track Mortgage Rates Automatically → https://rw2.therateupdate.com/
🏠 TRU Mortgage Command Center → https://command.therateupdate.com/
💳 TRU Debt Optimizer → https://debtrelief.therateupdate.com/
🧮 Mortgage Calculators & Tools → https://stan.store/TRU-Foundations
📊 Credit Monitoring (SmartCredit) → https://www.smartcredit.com/?PID=42980
📈 Free Credit Scores (Credit Karma) → https://www.creditkarma.com/lp/free-credit-scores-v12aff?adcopy=0&adcampaign=core_acq_awin

Welcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.

I break down mortgage rates, housing, inflation, Treasury yields, Federal Reserve policy, and the economic news that impacts homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market.

My goal is simple: help you understand what’s happening, why it matters, and what you should do next.

On this channel, you’ll find content about:
• Mortgage rates today
• Housing market updates
• Refinance opportunities
• Homebuying strategies
• Inflation and Federal Reserve news
• Treasury and bond market movements
• Mortgage industry insights
• Tools to help you save money and make smarter decisions

Whether you’re buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, comparing lenders, or trying to understand where rates may go next, you’re in the right place.

WORK WITH ME
📅 Schedule a Consultation → https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05
📝 Apply for a Mortgage (30+ Lenders • 1 Credit Pull) → https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register
📨 Contact / Ask Dan → https://www.therateupdate.com/contact

FOLLOW THE RATE UPDATE
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#MortgageRates #MortgageRatesToday #HousingMarket #HomeBuying #Refinance #InterestRates 

— DISCLAIMER —
Dan Frio is a licensed mortgage loan officer in all 50 states and Puerto Rico (NMLS #246527) with TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp (NMLS #257781), an Equal Housing Lender.

This channel and all content published by Dan Frio are provided for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing in this video, description, comments, calculators, tools, emails, websites, or linked content should be construed as an offer to lend, a commitment to lend, financial advice, legal advice, tax advice, or investment advice.

Mortgage approvals, loan terms, interest rates, down payment requirements, and program availability are subject to change without notice and depend on borrower qualifications, including but not limited to credit score, income, assets, employment, property type, occupancy, appraisal, title, underwriting approval, and current lending guidelines.

All opinions expressed are solely those of Dan Frio and do not necessarily reflect the views of PBT Bancorp, its affiliates, or any other institution.

Use of this channel, watching videos, commenting, messaging, scheduling a consultation, or submitting information does not create a client relationship. All examples, payment scenarios, savings illustrations, and mortgage comparisons are for demonstration purposes only and should be independently verified.

Not all borrowers will qualify. Equal Housing Lender.

TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp
NMLS #257781
Dan Frio NMLS #246527
Equal Housing Lender